NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	8.1 [256]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +40.8%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	2.9 [493]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.41	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.23	0.18	0.00	18	75%	0.51	3	-0.10	15	87%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.19	-0.00	12	69%	0.32	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	65%	0.07	1	0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Devin Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.01	7	78%	0.23	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.05
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.09	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	18	49%	-0.05	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	100%	0.03	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	8	64%	0.17	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.07
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	6	69%	0.19	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.05	0.03	19	69%	0.18	5	-0.18	4	75%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	9	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	11	43%	-0.07	3	-0.07	8	87%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.8	34.1	14.7	31.2	2.5	37.6	151.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.7%

DAL +0.3%

DAL +12.9%

DAL +10.5%

UTA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	15.4	110.2	108.2	104.5
season	16.3	15.9		108.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.4	16.0	13.6	16.4	15.1
UTA	15.0	14.0	14.1	14.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	80	83	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-6	15	15.0	15.4	-0.40	14.6	13.9	0.72
Jason Terry	77	73	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-9	21	15.2	14.4	0.81	14.7	13.9	0.74
Josh Howard	82	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-5	13	14.7	17.1	-2.47	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Devin Harris	66	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.55	-3	6	-9	14.3	16.5	-2.18	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Erick Dampier	58	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-5	13	15.1	15.1	-0.02	14.9	13.8	1.16
DeSagana Diop	33	30	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	2	-1	16.2	14.5	1.69	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Jerry Stackhouse	34	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	-6	15	15.1	15.0	0.04	14.8	14.3	0.51
DJ Mbenga	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	1.0	15.2	-14.21	0.0	14.5	-14.47
Greg Buckner	22	20	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.16	-14	17	-31	17.0	14.5	2.44	13.0	14.9	-1.86
Devean George	37	36	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.07	-15	18	-33	15.3	14.9	0.34	14.7	14.4	0.31

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	9	8	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-15	27	12.7	14.7	-1.99	20.4	14.6	5.79
Paul Millsap	16	18	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-15	27	13.6	14.6	-1.02	19.4	14.1	5.37
Derek Fisher	54	53	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.14	14	-17	31	14.4	14.6	-0.15	15.9	14.1	1.76
Jarron Collins	8	9	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-7	11	12.2	14.7	-2.42	17.0	14.9	2.13
Matt Harpring	54	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-11	19	15.0	13.8	1.14	15.7	14.2	1.52
Gordan Giricek	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	10	-23	14.5	14.5	-0.00	14.1	15.7	-1.68
Deron Williams	77	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	5	-13	14.3	15.0	-0.66	14.4	17.8	-3.38
Carlos Boozer	89	88	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	5	-13	14.5	14.1	0.38	14.9	16.7	-1.82
Mehmet Okur	74	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.30	-14	11	-25	14.5	14.3	0.17	14.0	18.5	-4.52
Andrei Kirilenko	66	65	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.38	-22	19	-41	14.9	13.5	1.36	14.6	16.0	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.28,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, VAN 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.53,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.2%
LAL 107, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.32,0.01,0	90.9%
LAL 104, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.61,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	90.6%