NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	7.2 [345]		MVP	George Lynch (VAN): +18.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	103		Comeback	3.6 [522]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -19.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	17	69%	0.22	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Rodrick Rhodes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	35%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	18	56%	0.08	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.06	3	-0.08	16	94%	0.07
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	6	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	82%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	10	59%	0.14	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	0.02	11	62%	0.05	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	10	55%	-0.02	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.06	0.03	12	48%	-0.07	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	27.2	15.7	27.1	2.4	33.5	130.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -10.0%

HOU +10.0%

VAN -3.5%

HOU +49.3%

HOU +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	VAN	NBA	HOU	VAN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.6	120.4	109.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		104.5	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		109.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	18.0	14.3	16.7	16.0
VAN	13.7	14.7	16.2	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	69	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.33	23	-14	37	16.2	15.4	0.84	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Rodrick Rhodes	32	32	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	0	9	16.4	15.8	0.67	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Clyde Drexler	71	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-3	15	15.1	18.9	-3.81	15.0	14.1	0.90
Matt Maloney	82	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	3	3	15.6	19.1	-3.51	14.8	14.6	0.23
Charles Barkley	59	61	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	12	-15	17.2	14.0	3.20	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Mario Elie	44	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	6	-3	16.6	15.5	1.08	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Matt Bullard	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	17.6	15.7	1.88	15.1	14.8	0.32
Eddie Johnson	38	41	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	12	-15	17.1	15.2	1.87	14.9	14.8	0.08
Kevin Willis	57	57	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	13	-17	14.5	18.4	-3.99	15.5	13.8	1.65

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	29	25	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.08	12	-21	33	14.9	14.8	0.08	17.6	15.4	2.19
Tony Massenburg	32	30	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.03	13	-22	35	15.1	14.6	0.48	17.3	15.4	1.87
George Lynch	27	27	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.11	3	-12	15	16.0	14.3	1.67	18.5	15.0	3.50
Pete Chilcutt	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-6	3	15.5	14.7	0.79	18.7	15.6	3.13
Sam Mack	52	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.6	15.1	-0.52	14.0	18.6	-4.62
Blue Edwards	46	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	14.4	15.2	-0.86	17.4	14.7	2.63
Bryant Reeves	64	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	1	-11	15.0	14.5	0.45	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	3	-15	14.3	16.0	-1.67	15.0	18.5	-3.50
Otis Thorpe	76	76	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.25	-16	7	-23	14.9	14.6	0.31	15.7	17.2	-1.44
Antonio Daniels	65	68	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.32	-21	12	-33	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.4	17.6	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.53,0.11,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.28,0.1,0.16,0	92.2%
MIA 89, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.23,0.1,0,0	91.7%
ORL 86, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,0.02,0	91.0%