NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	7.7 [270]		MVP	Craig Smith (MIN): +19.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	3.6 [346]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -12.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	7	68%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Roy	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.03,0.04,0.09	0.06	0.06	0.03	20	55%	0.14	2	-0.05	9	89%	-0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	16	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.06	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	8	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.00	9	75%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	12	75%	0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	21	48%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.14	-0.03	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	10	45%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	28.1	16.7	26.1	2.3	34.7	132.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +2.7%

POR +13.9%

POR +17.7%

POR +15.0%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.4	118.4	107.9	105.7
season	16.7	15.9		105.5	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.4		109.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	19.4	12.7	17.7	16.6
MIN	15.5	15.8	16.6	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	56	59	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.34	16	-9	25	15.8	17.9	-2.10	16.8	14.9	1.83
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-1	9	16.5	16.8	-0.33	15.9	17.0	-1.17
James Jones	37	38	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-3	13	17.2	16.1	1.05	16.2	16.1	0.07
Brandon Roy	70	69	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-1	9	16.6	16.6	-0.08	15.9	17.1	-1.29
Joel Przybilla	51	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	6	-5	17.6	15.1	2.52	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Channing Frye	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	3	1	15.1	17.6	-2.52	16.5	15.9	0.55
Martell Webster	44	46	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	5	-3	14.7	18.5	-3.85	16.1	16.2	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	11	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	14.6	16.9	-2.23	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Travis Outlaw	25	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.12	-4	11	-15	19.2	15.5	3.72	16.8	15.9	0.96
Jarrett Jack	37	37	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.06	-9	16	-25	18.3	15.3	3.02	15.9	16.3	-0.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Richard	11	10	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-7	7	16.5	16.1	0.35	15.8	16.7	-0.89
Craig Smith	44	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	16.0	16.3	-0.33	17.9	15.4	2.44
Kirk Snyder	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	15.8	16.6	-0.76	15.4	18.3	-2.93
Marko Jaric	58	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	1	-9	17.1	14.3	2.85	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Randy Foye	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.7	17.8	-2.09	16.6	16.5	0.11
Corey Brewer	28	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	1	-9	17.1	15.7	1.40	17.9	16.0	1.91
Rashad McCants	60	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-6	5	15.5	17.4	-1.88	17.4	14.9	2.59
Ryan Gomes	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	15.9	16.5	-0.62	15.5	18.5	-2.95
Al Jefferson	68	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	16.4	15.3	1.06	16.8	15.9	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.35,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.15,0	92.2%
CHI 90, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,0	91.9%
DEN 97, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.45,0.52,0.22,0.09,0	91.9%