NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	76		Excitement	3.0 [1188]		MVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): +13.7%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	1.4 [939]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -10.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	21	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	17	55%	0.05	3	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Greg Oden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	3	37%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	7	14%	-0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	-0.00	-0.02	21	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	16	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.1	18.7	25.8	2.8	29.3	131.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.2%

HOU +2.1%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +4.0%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	18.7	15.5	93.8	110.8	106.4
season	16.7	16.3		111.0	105.9
opponent	15.2	16.0		102.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.6	17.4	16.8	14.6	16.3
HOU	18.5	16.9	19.2	20.4	18.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	10.0	16.7	-6.68	21.0	18.6	2.40
Nicolas Batum	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	10.0	16.7	-6.68	21.0	18.6	2.40
Channing Frye	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-20	24	12.0	16.6	-4.63	20.2	18.6	1.53
Sergio Rodriguez	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-19	22	13.8	16.7	-2.89	18.6	18.8	-0.17
Greg Oden	27	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-15	14	14.6	17.2	-2.63	19.3	18.4	0.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-9	2	16.3	16.4	-0.10	19.5	17.0	2.50
Joel Przybilla	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-3	-10	17.3	15.2	2.07	18.5	19.0	-0.52
Brandon Roy	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	0	-16	16.7	13.5	3.25	18.9	17.7	1.25
Travis Outlaw	45	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	2	-20	16.2	16.5	-0.23	17.1	20.9	-3.73
Steve Blake	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	2	-20	16.9	13.4	3.53	18.8	18.3	0.55
Rudy Fernandez	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	6	-28	16.9	12.6	4.29	18.4	20.7	-2.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	33	33	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	4	8	17.7	19.4	-1.74	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Shane Battier	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.10	16	0	16	19.2	16.9	2.24	16.8	14.4	2.39
Von Wafer	29	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	10	-4	18.1	19.1	-1.04	15.5	16.8	-1.29
Luis Scola	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	1	14	18.9	18.5	0.47	17.2	14.9	2.24
Kyle Lowry	36	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	12	-8	19.0	18.5	0.50	16.0	16.6	-0.56
Metta World Peace	67	65	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	2	12	18.6	19.4	-0.78	16.7	14.9	1.75
Yao Ming	70	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	5	6	18.8	18.4	0.43	16.6	15.1	1.51
Aaron Brooks	55	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	6	4	18.9	18.4	0.53	16.1	16.8	-0.67
Charles Hayes	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	19.0	18.7	0.26	7.0	16.7	-9.71
James White	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	19.0	18.7	0.26	7.0	16.7	-9.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 88, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DET 89, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHA 91, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%