inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement3.1 [1167] MVPGreg Monroe (MIL): +18.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 102 Comeback1.2 [876] LVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -13.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Leuer0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02975%0.072-0.022100%0.00
Marcus Morris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.17-0.000.151772%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Aron Baynes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ish Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.01430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Reggie Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.020.000.05756%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Stanley Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.03333%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.050,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.021651%0.014-0.07956%-0.02
Tobias Harris-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.010.001127%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.001032%-0.054-0.082100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.190.010.011581%0.201-0.021100%0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.190.000.061379%0.1300.003100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.033100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00765%0.042-0.013100%0.01
Tony Snell0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.09-0.000.081167%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Rashad Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04936%-0.011-0.014100%0.01
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.02647%-0.0300.003100%0.00
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.00-0.061030%-0.033-0.0300%0.00
Mirza Teletovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.0030%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.629.415.425.42.530.2126.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +33.2%
MIL +3.5%
DET -4.4%
MIL +17.0%
MIL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game15.515.914.897.8110.9107.7
season15.014.9105.0107.4
opponent15.315.1107.8106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.116.513.917.015.5
MIL17.014.214.918.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Boban Marjanovic1615-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-151717.715.12.6816.315.90.40
Reggie Jackson6062-0.12-0.380.25-0.06-2-11913.918.7-4.8116.614.62.03
Aron Baynes89-0.17-0.330.160.07-8-5-320.215.15.1712.816.3-3.50
Stanley Johnson2727-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-3-718.714.24.4515.116.3-1.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6465-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-10714.218.7-4.4516.315.11.17
Andre Drummond6768-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.10-7-6-114.418.6-4.1416.315.01.32
Tobias Harris3635-0.32-0.18-0.130.09-141-1518.113.94.1615.016.5-1.46
Jon Leuer7173-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.19-5-8314.618.7-4.0515.816.4-0.55
Marcus Morris7576-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.14-7-6-115.217.2-2.0816.513.43.02
Ish Smith3130-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-2-918.713.94.8114.616.6-2.03

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matthew Dellavedova56550.370.130.250.05112915.416.8-1.4814.417.3-2.92
Giannis Antetokounmpo73730.340.160.170.1085316.015.50.5114.220.9-6.74
Greg Monroe55550.320.180.14-0.061301316.814.62.1517.113.13.97
Khris Middleton32320.320.180.13-0.01112914.716.6-1.8619.213.65.58
Tony Snell59570.260.240.03-0.121301315.916.1-0.2014.716.9-2.24
Jason Terry30310.240.26-0.030.0085315.616.1-0.5517.814.43.39
Michael Beasley63600.230.27-0.030.1249-516.215.30.8614.916.8-1.87
Thon Maker37360.180.32-0.140.18013-1314.616.8-2.1513.117.1-3.97
Malcolm Brogdon36360.130.37-0.250.07211-916.815.41.4817.314.42.92
Mirza Teletovic16170.110.39-0.270.03310-716.815.71.0616.715.31.44
Rashad Vaughn330.000.50-0.500.23-821-2921.015.85.248.315.8-7.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 76, HOU 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
ORL 80, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
CHI 80, LAC 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%