NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	80		Excitement	3.3 [1160]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +17.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.2 [1089]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -15.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	19	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	46%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	16	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	5	8%	-0.05	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	10	81%	0.18	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	62%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	6	25%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.10	18	63%	0.03	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	32.1	15.7	33.6	1.8	26.2	134.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.8%

LAC +5.3%

CHI -13.1%

LAC +12.0%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.4	88.9	112.2	104.1
season	16.6	15.6		101.7	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.4	17.3	17.0	15.7	16.9
LAC	13.2	12.2	15.8	20.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Teague	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	18.5	16.8	1.66	25.3	14.8	10.56
Vladimir Radmanovic	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-20	19	15.8	17.1	-1.29	20.7	14.0	6.65
Jimmy Butler	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-16	11	16.1	17.2	-1.05	18.0	14.0	3.93
Kirk Hinrich	55	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-19	17	16.7	17.1	-0.34	13.8	17.1	-3.27
Nazr Mohammed	7	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-14	7	20.1	16.6	3.54	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Richard Hamilton	63	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-15	9	16.7	17.3	-0.65	14.2	17.4	-3.21
Taj Gibson	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-7	-7	16.4	17.2	-0.80	18.9	12.8	6.04
Carlos Boozer	64	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-11	1	16.8	17.2	-0.39	14.1	17.7	-3.67
Joakim Noah	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-11	1	17.2	16.3	0.87	12.8	19.5	-6.75
Marco Belinelli	31	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	-5	-11	16.7	16.9	-0.21	16.8	14.3	2.47
Nate Robinson	33	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	-4	-13	17.0	16.8	0.19	16.3	14.4	1.91
Luol Deng	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-6	-9	17.5	15.7	1.80	14.2	17.2	-3.09

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	36	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	9	3	16.3	14.3	1.97	17.0	16.8	0.25
Jamal Crawford	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	6	9	16.2	13.7	2.47	16.2	17.8	-1.62
Matt Barnes	45	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	3	15	16.8	13.5	3.27	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Ryan Hollins	29	30	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	13	-5	17.3	14.1	3.28	17.1	16.7	0.38
Blake Griffin	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	5	11	14.3	17.2	-2.97	16.7	17.4	-0.77
Lamar Odom	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	16	-11	17.2	14.3	2.97	17.4	16.7	0.77
DeAndre Jordan	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	10	1	13.5	18.1	-4.61	16.7	17.2	-0.53
Chris Paul	60	60	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	11	-1	14.2	17.0	-2.82	16.5	17.6	-1.13
Willie Green	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	15	-9	13.7	16.2	-2.47	17.8	16.2	1.62
Caron Butler	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	19	-17	13.6	16.3	-2.70	17.6	16.4	1.21
Ronny Turiaf	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	25.3	14.8	10.56	18.5	16.8	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHI 91, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIL 71, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%