inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 88 Excitement2.9 [1155] MVPGreg Ostertag (UTA): +6.9%
Utah Jazz 112 Comeback1.4 [885] LVPBrent Barry (SEA): -9.9%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vin Baker0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.021465%0.052-0.02367%0.01
Desmond Mason0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.02860%0.0100.004100%0.01
Art Long0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01557%0.0000.00475%0.00
Gary Payton-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.011360%0.033-0.034100%0.02
Earl Watson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Predrag Drobnjak-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.03425%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.061836%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Shammond Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.02350%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Calvin Booth-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0140%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Brent Barry-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.00636%-0.043-0.062100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.014100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.010.031274%0.082-0.023100%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.00967%0.061-0.01989%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.00-0.081448%0.053-0.02333%-0.02
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01360%0.0100.00450%-0.01
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quincy Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04325%0.0000.002100%0.00
John Amaechi00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02180%0.0000.00367%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.010.031270%0.075-0.113100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.71.726.215.724.21.724.2121.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +42.7%
SEA -2.9%
UTA +8.5%
UTA +0.9%
UTA +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAUTANBASEAUTANBA
this game17.115.015.697.8125.8102.3
season16.016.1106.3102.9
opponent15.115.8101.9103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA14.820.916.316.817.1
UTA16.611.815.016.715.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Art Long11120.00-0.500.50-0.062-262817.317.10.1618.414.53.91
Olumide Oyedeji890.00-0.500.50-0.062-262816.617.2-0.5619.714.55.15
Vladimir Radmanovic11120.00-0.500.50-0.062-262817.317.10.1618.414.53.91
Earl Watson1920-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-283216.517.3-0.8416.114.71.38
Shammond Williams1211-0.18-0.320.150.06-8-16817.517.10.4215.614.90.69
Desmond Mason4545-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-201616.817.4-0.5816.213.92.31
Predrag Drobnjak3130-0.22-0.280.060.22-15-9-616.917.3-0.3514.215.4-1.21
Calvin Booth4242-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-14417.117.1-0.0314.315.7-1.37
Vin Baker6260-0.33-0.17-0.160.20-18-6-1217.017.5-0.5814.416.4-2.05
Gary Payton6463-0.35-0.15-0.200.29-22-2-2017.217.10.0814.616.1-1.47
Brent Barry7472-0.45-0.05-0.400.25-240-2417.216.80.3914.517.5-3.01
Rashard Lewis7169-0.530.03-0.570.32-295-3417.615.32.3014.517.0-2.54

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donyell Marshall69690.400.100.31-0.242222014.815.9-1.1817.216.90.30
Andrei Kirilenko45460.370.130.25-0.272222014.415.7-1.3717.816.51.28
Greg Ostertag35350.320.180.15-0.201861214.715.3-0.5718.416.32.03
John Starks48480.300.200.10-0.111410414.815.3-0.5717.716.51.19
John Stockton48490.250.250.010.08618-1214.615.6-0.9817.416.80.60
John Crotty35360.250.25-0.01-0.372131814.915.1-0.2016.817.4-0.59
Karl Malone61610.230.27-0.040.06618-1214.915.2-0.3216.119.3-3.21
Quincy Lewis41420.200.30-0.10-0.101014-415.314.80.5716.517.7-1.19
Jarron Collins45460.170.33-0.16-0.01618-1215.414.70.7016.318.0-1.74
DeShawn Stevenson660.000.50-0.500.09-327-3019.314.74.6118.517.01.46
John Amaechi660.000.50-0.500.03-125-2619.314.74.6118.517.01.46
Scott Padgett660.000.50-0.500.03-125-2619.314.74.6118.517.01.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 76, HOU 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CHI 80, CLE 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
DEN 88, IND 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%