NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	3.3 [1162]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +20.1%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.7 [925]		LVP	Keith Bogans (CHA): -8.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Sampson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	14	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.15	0.00	-0.14	7	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	28%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.03	-0.04	10	80%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	80%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Mario Kasun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	42%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	11	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	7	62%	0.03	7	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	29.5	15.8	28.2	1.4	28.6	132.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +44.0%

ORL +14.6%

CHA -4.7%

CHA -2.9%

CHA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.5	96.8	118.1	104.0
season	15.5	14.3		99.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	16.1	17.6	15.8	16.1
ORL	15.4	12.2	13.7	17.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	29	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-24	28	15.1	16.6	-1.46	16.3	13.7	2.61
Jason Kapono	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-17	14	15.7	16.3	-0.61	16.5	13.9	2.56
Jamal Sampson	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-22	24	16.2	16.1	0.10	16.7	13.6	3.10
Theron Smith	28	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-13	6	16.2	16.1	0.14	15.9	13.8	2.12
Keith Bogans	53	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-10	0	15.6	16.8	-1.21	15.5	12.9	2.59
Melvin Ely	18	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-13	6	15.1	16.4	-1.35	14.5	14.5	0.05
Brevin Knight	51	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-11	2	16.5	15.7	0.83	13.5	15.6	-2.03
Jason Hart	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-9	-2	15.7	16.5	-0.83	15.6	13.5	2.03
Emeka Okafor	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	-6	-8	16.4	15.9	0.49	13.4	15.8	-2.43
Gerald Wallace	50	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-5	-10	16.0	16.3	-0.23	13.1	16.0	-2.94
Kareem Rush	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	-11	2	16.9	15.1	1.75	13.8	15.5	-1.66
Primoz Brezec	42	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	1	-22	17.0	15.4	1.58	12.2	16.2	-3.94

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	44	45	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	3	14	15.2	13.9	1.34	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Hedo Turkoglu	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	9	2	15.5	13.8	1.73	16.6	15.8	0.78
Mario Kasun	42	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	6	8	15.2	13.9	1.22	16.0	16.3	-0.36
Pat Garrity	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	7	6	14.7	14.2	0.54	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Steve Francis	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	7	6	14.3	14.8	-0.53	16.4	15.8	0.65
Jameer Nelson	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	13	-6	14.8	14.3	0.53	15.8	16.4	-0.65
Dwight Howard	45	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	13	-6	14.1	14.9	-0.77	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Tony Battie	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	14	-8	14.0	15.0	-0.98	16.4	15.8	0.58
Grant Hill	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	12	-4	13.6	15.4	-1.77	16.6	15.6	1.02
Cuttino Mobley	45	44	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	16	-12	13.7	15.2	-1.58	16.2	16.1	0.15
DeShawn Stevenson	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.1	14.4	0.68	13.5	16.6	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.8%
NYK 76, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
POR 76, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%