NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	3.7 [1071]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +11.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	1.3 [970]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -13.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Scott Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	14	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	24	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	14	79%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.22	-0.01	-0.10	21	29%	-0.07	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	17	66%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	72%	0.07	2	-0.03	12	100%	0.04
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	62%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	16	55%	0.05	5	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	38%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	27.3	15.6	27.3	2.4	29.6	129.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.7%

LAC +6.6%

LAC +17.4%

PHX -5.2%

LAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	15.7	92.9	108.2	100.5
season	14.6	15.5		99.6	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.9		106.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	14.2	12.9	14.5	14.0
LAC	14.8	15.2	14.2	17.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	43	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-16	17	14.3	13.8	0.48	16.1	14.8	1.31
Tom Gugliotta	24	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-9	3	16.0	13.4	2.55	16.4	15.0	1.35
Casey Jacobsen	44	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-13	11	14.4	13.7	0.73	16.6	14.3	2.22
Jake Voskuhl	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-4	-7	13.5	14.5	-1.04	15.7	15.0	0.63
Scott Williams	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-15	15	14.1	14.0	0.12	15.9	15.0	0.84
Stephon Marbury	92	92	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-8	1	13.9	16.7	-2.81	15.2	18.3	-3.17
Anfernee Hardaway	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	2	-19	14.0	14.1	-0.08	14.1	17.3	-3.15
Joe Johnson	69	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-4	-7	13.4	15.6	-2.16	14.7	16.7	-2.03
Shawn Marion	74	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.10	-22	7	-29	14.1	13.7	0.48	15.2	15.8	-0.56

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	0	15	15.1	16.4	-1.30	13.8	14.9	-1.07
Elton Brand	80	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	6	3	15.0	16.7	-1.67	14.1	13.7	0.38
Glen Rice	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	6	3	17.8	14.2	3.65	14.7	13.7	0.93
Doug Overton	32	33	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	8	-1	16.6	14.7	1.88	14.9	13.6	1.37
Corey Maggette	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	5	5	14.4	18.8	-4.39	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Chris Kaman	63	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	11	-7	16.9	12.5	4.42	14.4	13.3	1.14
Marko Jaric	67	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	7	1	14.5	17.2	-2.64	13.6	14.9	-1.25
Bobby Simmons	29	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	11	-7	17.0	14.7	2.28	14.2	14.0	0.25
Chris Wilcox	33	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	6	3	12.6	16.8	-4.15	13.3	14.4	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAC 108, OKC 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 80, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%