NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	80		Excitement	2.8 [1191]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): +9.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.1 [1058]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -8.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	9	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
John Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	40%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Loren Woods	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	12	75%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	5	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	0.00	10	76%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	11	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	13	37%	-0.01	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.06	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	26.5	15.4	27.4	2.4	27.3	123.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.2%

CLE +1.1%

CLE +10.8%

MIA -2.1%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	17.0	15.7	88.9	102.2	100.5
season	16.2	15.7		99.3	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.2	19.1	14.0	12.7	15.2
CLE	16.5	20.9	13.7	17.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-23	35	12.6	15.8	-3.17	17.4	16.9	0.53
Loren Woods	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-25	39	11.9	16.2	-4.21	18.2	16.6	1.60
Malik Allen	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-20	29	12.1	16.5	-4.42	16.1	17.3	-1.23
Brian Grant	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-8	5	17.2	14.1	3.14	18.0	16.4	1.64
Rasual Butler	37	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-13	15	14.2	16.0	-1.80	18.7	15.7	3.04
Caron Butler	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-1	-9	17.2	14.4	2.80	16.9	17.0	-0.06
Lamar Odom	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-4	-3	17.3	13.2	4.10	18.7	15.2	3.48
Samaki Walker	21	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	4	-19	14.3	15.5	-1.22	14.2	17.7	-3.50
Eddie Jones	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	2	-15	15.9	13.9	1.93	17.3	16.3	0.92
Udonis Haslem	36	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	9	-29	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.1	18.1	-2.94
Dwyane Wade	60	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	4	-19	15.4	14.9	0.48	15.5	19.4	-3.91
Rafer Alston	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	15.0	16.1	-1.14	16.8	17.4	-0.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	38	40	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-8	27	16.8	17.1	-0.26	14.0	16.2	-2.11
Jeff McInnis	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.26	21	-10	31	15.9	19.2	-3.37	15.8	13.9	1.93
LeBron James	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	-3	17	16.7	17.4	-0.74	16.6	12.8	3.79
Tony Battie	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	8	-5	18.6	15.1	3.51	14.3	16.3	-2.04
Carlos Boozer	52	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-3	17	14.8	20.0	-5.15	16.0	14.0	1.95
DeSagana Diop	37	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	14	-17	20.0	14.8	5.15	14.0	16.0	-1.95
Lee Nailon	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.33	-5	16	-21	19.4	15.1	4.30	13.4	16.5	-3.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	3	5	15.1	18.6	-3.51	16.3	14.3	2.04
Dajuan Wagner	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	11	-11	21.2	15.9	5.27	13.8	15.6	-1.74
Ira Newble	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	7	-3	14.9	18.1	-3.27	16.6	14.4	2.23
Jason Kapono	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	16.4	17.1	-0.64	14.4	15.3	-0.98
Kevin Ollie	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	16.1	17.1	-1.00	14.0	15.4	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ORL 103, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
TOR 87, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%