NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	3.1 [1189]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +8.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Mike James (TOR): -15.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	10	58%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	13	57%	0.02	0	0.00	11	82%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Pape Sow	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.05	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	12	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Mike James	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	8	100%	0.14	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.08	10	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	30.3	17.4	25.4	1.8	27.3	127.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +57.0%

TOR -11.1%

MIL +2.5%

MIL +0.7%

MIL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	97.8	118.7	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		107.3	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.0	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	15.8	19.0	14.0	16.2
MIL	17.0	14.2	15.3	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	13.7	16.8	-3.04	15.9	15.7	0.22
Charlie Villanueva	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-19	17	13.9	18.2	-4.30	16.2	15.4	0.76
Joey Graham	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-17	13	14.3	18.5	-4.22	15.8	15.7	0.03
Matt Bonner	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-16	11	13.6	19.0	-5.44	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Jose Calderon	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-12	3	14.4	18.4	-4.00	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Pape Sow	35	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-6	-9	19.7	14.0	5.71	15.8	15.8	-0.00
Mike James	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	-7	-7	17.3	14.8	2.45	15.9	15.6	0.28
Morris Peterson	57	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-1	-19	17.6	13.8	3.80	15.8	15.6	0.25
Chris Bosh	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	-1	-19	17.9	13.3	4.63	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Jalen Rose	47	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	-1	-19	18.2	14.1	4.07	15.6	16.0	-0.37

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	46	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	-1	23	14.8	16.8	-2.02	17.9	14.4	3.44
Bobby Simmons	46	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	0	21	15.0	16.5	-1.45	17.6	14.7	2.86
Michael Redd	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	0	21	16.1	15.0	1.15	17.1	14.6	2.46
T.J. Ford	56	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	5	11	16.2	15.0	1.28	17.4	14.5	2.93
Jamaal Magloire	56	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	6	9	16.3	14.9	1.42	17.0	15.1	1.95
Charlie Bell	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	14	-7	14.4	16.8	-2.40	15.2	17.1	-1.86
Dan Gadzuric	28	30	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	14	-7	14.7	16.2	-1.56	16.0	16.4	-0.32
Mo Williams	49	47	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	18	-15	16.4	15.0	1.32	15.0	17.7	-2.69
Toni Kukoc	44	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	22	-23	16.9	14.7	2.14	14.4	17.9	-3.44
Jiri Welsch	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	15.9	15.7	0.22	13.7	16.8	-3.04
Ervin Johnson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	15.7	15.8	-0.05	10.3	16.7	-6.34
Jermaine Jackson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	15.7	15.8	-0.05	10.3	16.7	-6.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
DEN 113, IND 144	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
IND 96, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%