NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	3.6 [1085]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +17.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	131		Comeback	1.4 [803]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -10.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	-0.00	-0.04	16	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	111%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.07	20	49%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	15	78%	0.20	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.02	9	86%	0.12	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.02	2	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	19	43%	-0.03	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	40.0	16.7	30.3	3.4	28.5	148.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +15.6%

OKC +11.7%

OKC +17.7%

OKC +5.1%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.1	110.2	131.0	104.2
season	14.6	14.5		110.5	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		103.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.1	16.4	17.3	14.7	15.4
OKC	15.1	12.4	11.5	15.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-29	35	14.3	15.6	-1.29	13.3	13.8	-0.49
CJ Wilcox	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	15.0	15.5	-0.48	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Ekpe Udoh	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	15.0	15.5	-0.48	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Hedo Turkoglu	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-25	27	13.9	15.9	-2.05	11.4	14.5	-3.16
Glen Davis	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-13	3	14.8	15.5	-0.62	11.5	14.0	-2.51
Jamal Crawford	69	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-8	-7	14.9	16.5	-1.60	13.7	13.7	0.06
DeAndre Jordan	70	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-3	-17	15.4	15.5	-0.11	14.3	12.3	2.00
Matt Barnes	65	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	-3	-17	15.5	15.2	0.36	13.2	14.7	-1.50
Chris Paul	70	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	-2	-19	15.7	14.5	1.24	14.4	11.8	2.66
Austin Rivers	52	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	-4	-15	16.2	14.5	1.71	14.2	13.3	0.89
Spencer Hawes	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.40	-28	5	-33	15.9	14.0	1.97	14.2	12.5	1.69

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	38	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	7	9	13.1	14.1	-1.03	16.8	14.5	2.38
Russell Westbrook	66	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.18	18	5	13	13.4	14.4	-1.05	15.9	14.4	1.58
Dion Waiters	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.28	21	2	19	13.8	13.7	0.09	14.8	16.0	-1.28
Kevin Durant	61	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	7	9	13.4	14.3	-0.92	15.7	14.8	0.93
Andre Roberson	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.18	17	6	11	13.8	13.6	0.23	15.6	15.2	0.37
Mitch McGary	50	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.26	19	4	15	13.6	13.9	-0.32	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Reggie Jackson	48	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.28	19	4	15	13.7	13.7	0.06	15.8	15.0	0.74
Serge Ibaka	62	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	9	5	14.2	12.9	1.25	15.8	14.8	0.98
Perry Jones	19	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	29	-35	13.2	13.9	-0.69	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Jeremy Lamb	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	32	-41	13.7	13.7	-0.07	13.8	15.7	-1.96
Ish Smith	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	30	-37	14.2	13.6	0.59	13.4	15.7	-2.25
Steven Adams	25	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	26	-29	15.5	13.1	2.35	13.7	16.0	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 80, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 86, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%