NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	5.0 [799]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +14.2%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	3.5 [415]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -15.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.02	25	56%	0.09	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	15	72%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	14	50%	-0.06
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	7	0%	-0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.02	17	67%	0.25	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.05
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.02	25	55%	0.09	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	20	39%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	3.7	32.1	19.6	34.1	3.5	42.9	164.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.7%

SAS +8.4%

SAS +12.5%

SAS +7.2%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.4	98.0	102.0	105.7
season	13.8	16.5		111.1	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.6		100.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	16.8	14.9	13.6	15.2
SAS	14.0	12.0	13.4	16.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	38	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-9	12	17.8	13.5	4.33	13.7	14.1	-0.39
Gordan Giricek	30	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-8	10	14.6	15.5	-0.86	12.8	14.5	-1.74
Shaquille O'Neal	73	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-9	12	15.3	14.8	0.53	14.1	13.2	0.87
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-7	8	15.5	13.3	2.28	14.5	11.2	3.22
Raja Bell	84	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-6	6	14.7	18.4	-3.77	14.0	13.5	0.44
Steve Nash	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.4	14.5	0.89	14.4	11.9	2.51
Leandro Barbosa	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	12	-30	14.8	15.6	-0.85	12.8	15.1	-2.30
Boris Diaw	52	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	12	-30	13.9	16.7	-2.83	13.9	13.9	-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	70	71	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.15	12	-6	18	13.7	14.5	-0.84	14.1	18.1	-3.98
Michael Finley	70	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-4	14	14.4	12.8	1.63	15.7	14.0	1.77
Ime Udoka	31	32	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.07	17	-11	28	12.6	14.5	-1.88	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Tim Duncan	90	87	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	8	-10	13.9	14.4	-0.54	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Bruce Bowen	48	45	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.45	-8	14	-22	13.9	13.9	-0.03	16.0	14.5	1.53
Tony Parker	81	79	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	11	-16	14.5	11.3	3.27	15.4	14.3	1.09
Jacque Vaughn	11	10	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	0	6	8.7	14.6	-5.82	17.5	14.9	2.57
Fabricio Oberto	38	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	6	-6	15.9	12.7	3.29	16.1	14.7	1.36
Brent Barry	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	2	2	12.9	14.3	-1.33	12.4	16.2	-3.75
Robert Horry	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	11.5	14.1	-2.62	13.4	15.4	-1.93
Kurt Thomas	27	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	12	-18	14.0	13.9	0.17	16.3	14.7	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DEN 98, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
PHX 114, PHI 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,1	93.4%