inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 72 Excitement5.1 [783] MVPShammond Williams (DEN): +15.5%
Denver Nuggets 88 Comeback4.3 [143] LVPMichael Jordan (WAS): -18.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kwame Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00557%0.0200.004100%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00280%-0.002-0.04667%-0.02
Bobby Simmons-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Juan Dixon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.040.00743%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.041037%-0.041-0.004100%0.01
Jahidi White-0.060,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01250%0.002-0.06250%-0.00
Bryon Russell-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.0010%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.05-0.021933%-0.1500.00771%-0.00
Michael Jordan-0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.04-0.022340%-0.115-0.08250%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.040.00794%0.191-0.04250%-0.02
Jeff Trepagnier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.00490%0.111-0.032100%0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.050.001145%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.03781%0.082-0.05250%-0.01
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.02-0.02858%0.051-0.043100%0.01
Chris Andersen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.020.03856%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Predrag Savovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.04
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.02721%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rodney White0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.020.061342%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.021027%-0.072-0.042100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.728.315.725.12.527.3122.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +56.9%
DEN +2.7%
DEN +1.4%
WAS -7.2%
WAS -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game18.616.415.587.8106.0101.6
season16.515.7100.990.4
opponent15.315.599.4101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.320.418.619.218.6
DEN15.715.614.819.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Dixon2427-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-171819.218.30.9716.116.5-0.43
Kwame Brown3639-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-171817.319.5-2.2416.616.20.43
Bobby Simmons2831-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-131019.118.30.8316.816.10.71
Jahidi White3938-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-3-1019.417.81.6217.115.71.42
Bryon Russell1010-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-7-9217.618.7-1.0917.616.21.41
Jerry Stackhouse6363-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-4-818.419.1-0.6416.515.80.67
Tyronn Lue5959-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-7-218.319.3-1.0915.718.0-2.25
Christian Laettner5250-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-4-818.219.1-0.8515.617.5-1.97
Brendan Haywood3434-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.17-6-10419.218.11.1516.616.20.33
Michael Jordan6564-0.48-0.02-0.450.11-204-2418.717.90.7816.416.20.26

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shammond Williams38380.390.110.280.07115617.415.51.8617.419.5-2.12
Juwan Howard64630.350.150.21-0.061421216.316.5-0.2118.219.7-1.53
Nikoloz Tskitishvili48480.340.160.180.0897216.016.9-0.9618.518.7-0.25
Nene56570.340.160.180.02115617.114.92.1319.616.23.34
Junior Harrington51500.310.190.12-0.071331016.915.41.5019.017.91.02
Jeff Trepagnier15160.300.200.090.12610-414.316.8-2.5618.118.7-0.54
Marcus Camby35330.240.26-0.030.0379-215.816.8-0.9716.819.7-2.87
Donnell Harvey40390.200.30-0.11-0.0488016.416.30.1718.318.8-0.53
Rodney White46460.100.40-0.30-0.1179-216.316.5-0.2319.317.61.79
Chris Andersen330.000.50-0.500.06-218-2013.316.5-3.1422.018.43.57
Predrag Savovic65-0.010.51-0.51-0.01016-1610.216.8-6.6815.218.8-3.58
Adam Harrington1312-0.060.56-0.610.06-420-2417.516.21.3021.718.03.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 99, NOP 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.6%
PHX 96, SAS 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.93,1,194.3%
DEN 88, MEM 1060.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%