NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	1.9 [1301]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +10.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	77		Comeback	1.0 [1044]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -6.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.01	0.06	11	87%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.09	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	73%	0.12	5	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.06	0.02	-0.11	8	39%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	90%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	12	58%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	16	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	39%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.7	31.0	18.8	31.2	2.7	26.3	142.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.9%

DET +3.2%

PHI -4.9%

DET +1.1%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	18.4	15.3	15.4	117.6	89.5	105.7
season	16.8	15.2		108.8	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.8		104.2	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.8	20.1	20.9	16.1	18.4
PHI	15.3	14.1	17.0	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	53	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.53	37	-14	51	18.8	17.6	1.17	15.9	14.5	1.40
Richard Hamilton	56	58	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.50	33	-10	43	18.7	17.6	1.11	15.4	15.1	0.31
Jason Maxiell	52	53	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.44	31	-8	39	19.2	17.1	2.11	15.7	14.7	1.01
Rasheed Wallace	42	43	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	3	17	19.7	17.0	2.69	16.0	14.7	1.40
Tayshaun Prince	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.33	25	-2	27	19.3	16.6	2.76	15.6	14.9	0.63
Rodney Stuckey	41	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.33	-8	31	-39	17.6	19.0	-1.44	14.7	15.9	-1.26
Antonio McDyess	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	20	-17	18.4	18.3	0.03	14.7	15.6	-0.94
Theo Ratliff	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	23	-23	16.4	19.3	-2.91	14.5	15.7	-1.26
Jarvis Hayes	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	29	-35	16.2	19.1	-2.87	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Amir Johnson	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	31	-39	16.2	19.1	-2.87	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Arron Afflalo	29	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	35	-47	17.6	18.7	-1.16	14.9	15.6	-0.68

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-30	37	17.0	15.1	1.92	15.6	18.8	-3.23
Kevin Ollie	29	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-27	31	14.2	15.9	-1.67	15.6	19.7	-4.10
Lou Williams	50	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-21	19	14.8	16.1	-1.22	17.4	19.6	-2.18
Rodney Carney	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-28	33	15.0	15.6	-0.61	17.6	18.9	-1.30
Jason Smith	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	-14	5	13.8	16.8	-3.04	16.7	19.8	-3.17
Reggie Evans	44	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-13	3	15.2	15.5	-0.25	20.0	16.7	3.30
Thaddeus Young	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.27	-18	-5	-13	15.6	15.2	0.42	17.3	19.0	-1.67
Willie Green	29	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-8	-7	16.7	14.7	2.02	19.8	17.5	2.34
Samuel Dalembert	42	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-7	-9	16.4	14.4	1.97	19.9	16.8	3.11
Andre Iguodala	55	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.44	-32	9	-41	15.6	14.9	0.75	18.8	17.5	1.32
Andre Miller	58	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.35	-29	6	-35	15.6	14.7	0.89	19.7	15.6	4.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 111, GSW 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
NJN 100, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CLE 129, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%