NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	111		Excitement	2.2 [1215]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +10.5%
Golden State Warriors	86		Comeback	1.0 [651]		LVP	Bimbo Coles (GSW): -8.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.23	0.01	0.13	16	81%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Wingate	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	83%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	74%	0.06	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Greg Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	56%	0.01	4	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	12	35%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Stewart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.09	4	10%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	16	68%	0.04	4	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Lou Roe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	13	44%	-0.03	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	9	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	32.0	16.8	23.2	1.8	26.3	127.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.9%

GSW -0.4%

SEA +4.2%

SEA +4.6%

SEA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	14.3	15.6	113.3	86.9	104.4
season	14.9	15.0		108.9	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.2		109.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	15.3	16.1	14.7	15.0
GSW	16.2	13.5	14.6	13.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	56	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.44	31	-6	37	14.8	15.2	-0.45	14.8	13.6	1.19
Detlef Schrempf	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.41	29	-4	33	15.0	14.9	0.13	15.2	13.2	1.94
Hersey Hawkins	57	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.39	28	-3	31	15.0	14.9	0.10	14.8	13.4	1.40
Sam Perkins	40	39	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.44	28	-3	31	14.4	15.3	-0.90	15.5	13.5	2.07
Jim McIlvaine	21	21	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.25	20	5	15	13.0	15.5	-2.49	16.9	13.6	3.27
Larry Stewart	38	39	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	23	-21	15.0	14.9	0.02	15.1	13.8	1.31
Shawn Kemp	51	53	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	21	-17	15.6	14.3	1.27	13.8	14.8	-0.93
David Wingate	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	18	-11	14.0	15.5	-1.52	12.6	15.3	-2.74
Craig Ehlo	53	53	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	31	-37	15.6	14.2	1.32	13.0	15.8	-2.80
Eric Snow	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	38	-51	16.6	14.3	2.26	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Terry Cummings	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	27	-29	15.0	14.9	0.06	12.7	14.9	-2.14
Greg Graham	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	14.7	15.1	-0.42	13.0	14.7	-1.69

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Roe	19	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-32	39	12.3	14.8	-2.50	15.5	14.8	0.70
Todd Fuller	19	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-32	39	12.3	14.8	-2.50	15.5	14.8	0.70
Donald Royal	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.12	3	-28	31	14.4	14.3	0.11	15.7	14.8	0.90
Ray Owes	35	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.29	-11	-14	3	13.4	14.7	-1.32	15.1	14.9	0.15
Andrew DeClercq	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-30	35	14.9	14.0	0.91	16.3	14.3	1.98
Donyell Marshall	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-24	23	12.1	15.3	-3.19	13.7	15.6	-1.89
Felton Spencer	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.23	-15	-10	-5	16.2	13.7	2.54	14.4	15.2	-0.75
Bimbo Coles	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-16	7	14.0	14.7	-0.69	15.0	14.9	0.08
Latrell Sprewell	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	-3	-19	14.4	13.8	0.59	14.9	15.1	-0.16
B.J. Armstrong	41	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.42	-26	1	-27	15.3	13.6	1.77	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Joe Smith	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.37	-28	3	-31	14.9	13.3	1.61	15.2	14.5	0.71
Chris Mullin	76	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.51	-35	10	-45	14.7	12.9	1.78	14.5	16.3	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
BOS 119, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
CLE 135, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%