NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	119		Excitement	2.3 [1271]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +12.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -8.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	13	88%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	12	70%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	64%	0.03	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	7	81%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.13	0.00	0.14	8	94%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	45%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.06	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	15	36%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.4	29.0	15.8	30.1	2.7	27.2	137.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.2%

MEM -4.3%

BOS +7.1%

BOS +2.7%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.4	129.3	97.8	105.7
season	15.6	14.9		108.0	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.9		109.9	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	15.8	15.0	15.8	15.3
MEM	17.6	15.5	15.0	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	54	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.36	29	1	28	15.5	15.0	0.49	17.4	14.6	2.76
Rajon Rondo	34	35	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	4	22	15.4	15.2	0.15	19.2	14.4	4.80
Kendrick Perkins	47	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	4	22	15.1	15.5	-0.40	17.6	14.8	2.80
Kevin Garnett	47	48	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	7	16	15.4	15.1	0.25	18.1	14.1	4.03
Ray Allen	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.30	23	7	16	15.4	15.1	0.28	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Tony Allen	41	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	20	-10	14.8	15.6	-0.82	16.1	16.3	-0.12
Leon Powe	24	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	35	-40	17.2	14.6	2.58	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Eddie House	59	57	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	23	-16	15.0	15.7	-0.73	14.1	19.7	-5.61
James Posey	41	43	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	29	-28	14.5	15.8	-1.31	13.7	18.5	-4.74
Glen Davis	34	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.23	8	22	-14	14.6	15.7	-1.11	14.3	17.4	-3.03
P.J. Brown	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.23	8	22	-14	15.0	15.3	-0.32	18.1	15.8	2.31
Brian Scalabrine	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	36	-42	17.9	14.9	3.01	15.4	16.3	-0.92

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-36	42	16.4	16.2	0.16	17.7	14.9	2.86
Kwame Brown	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-26	22	16.9	16.0	0.91	15.8	15.1	0.73
Brian Cardinal	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-26	22	16.9	16.0	0.91	15.8	15.1	0.73
Javaris Crittenton	31	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-35	40	16.0	16.3	-0.33	16.3	14.7	1.61
Jason Collins	23	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-24	18	12.1	17.6	-5.47	14.6	15.5	-0.96
Juan Carlos Navarro	34	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.26	-14	-16	2	13.8	17.7	-3.87	13.8	16.1	-2.33
Kyle Lowry	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.20	-13	-17	4	15.0	17.7	-2.69	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Mike Conley	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.18	-17	-13	-4	17.7	15.0	2.69	15.8	14.8	1.05
Mike Miller	42	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-12	-6	17.6	15.0	2.55	15.7	14.9	0.82
Darko Milicic	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.28	-24	-6	-18	16.7	15.4	1.34	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Rudy Gay	64	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.33	-27	-3	-24	15.9	16.9	-1.00	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Hakim Warrick	57	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.51	-34	4	-38	17.7	13.7	3.97	15.2	15.3	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 111, GSW 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
MIA 95, NJN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%