NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	95		Excitement	2.2 [770]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (MIA): +6.3%
New Jersey Nets	76		Comeback	1.0 [677]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -12.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	13	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	63%	0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	9	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	12	58%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Askins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	53%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
William Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	12	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	0.00	0.11	5	100%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	0.00	0.11	14	64%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	8	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.17	0.00	-0.05	14	33%	-0.04	5	-0.09	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	25.4	15.4	21.6	2.4	23.6	112.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +35.5%

MIA +0.2%

MIA +6.9%

MIA +5.5%

MIA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.8	109.2	87.4	99.6
season	16.6	15.0		101.3	96.5
opponent	15.6	16.7		100.6	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.5	18.0	16.1	19.2	17.0
NJN	19.8	14.7	15.9	14.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-7	33	16.2	18.5	-2.29	17.0	14.4	2.60
Jamal Mashburn	63	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	-4	27	16.8	17.5	-0.74	16.9	14.0	2.89
Dan Majerle	47	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.28	25	-6	31	16.0	18.1	-2.15	17.3	14.8	2.57
Clar. Weatherspoon	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.21	19	0	19	15.8	18.2	-2.41	17.5	14.6	2.89
Tim Hardaway	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	9	1	16.7	17.2	-0.48	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Terry Porter	37	38	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	7	5	17.9	16.3	1.56	16.9	15.6	1.34
Keith Askins	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	19	-19	17.3	16.8	0.47	15.1	16.6	-1.57
Mark Strickland	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	23	-27	17.8	16.2	1.59	15.0	17.3	-2.39
Voshon Lenard	37	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	28	-37	18.2	16.0	2.18	13.6	17.9	-4.31
Duane Causwell	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	24	-29	19.2	16.2	2.97	14.2	16.8	-2.57
Marty Conlon	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	16.6	17.0	-0.41	14.4	16.4	-2.06

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Cunningham	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	14.1	16.6	-2.42	19.1	16.5	2.54
Elliot Perry	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-25	31	14.0	17.4	-3.43	18.4	16.1	2.33
David Vaughn	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-14	9	15.4	16.3	-0.89	16.3	17.1	-0.81
Chris Carr	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-17	15	15.2	16.8	-1.60	18.0	16.2	1.75
Lucious Harris	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-19	19	15.6	17.1	-1.42	17.6	15.7	1.93
Kerry Kittles	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-5	-9	15.6	18.3	-2.70	16.8	17.7	-0.88
Mark Hendrickson	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-2	-15	16.8	15.2	1.60	16.2	18.0	-1.75
Kendall Gill	45	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.21	-22	3	-25	17.9	14.2	3.67	16.2	17.8	-1.54
Jamie Feick	57	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-1	-17	16.9	14.8	2.09	16.6	17.7	-1.14
Stephon Marbury	58	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.29	-27	8	-35	17.1	14.2	2.90	16.3	18.3	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 119, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DAL 100, CHA 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%