NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Excitement	2.6 [1240]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +16.7%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.0 [1011]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -7.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.20	0.00	0.04	15	80%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	15	65%	0.13	5	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	71%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.00	10	90%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	71%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	10	44%	-0.00	4	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	7	81%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	69%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	47%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	0.00	0.10	19	60%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	7	20%	-0.05	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	25.6	14.6	25.1	2.3	27.3	121.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.2%

MIN +6.6%

MIN +1.3%

MIN +2.0%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	14.7	114.7	104.3	107.5
season	15.3	15.1		111.8	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.4		103.3	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.1	17.1	14.2	17.0	15.3
UTA	15.5	15.6	15.8	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	76	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	-12	35	14.9	16.7	-1.76	15.4	13.5	1.90
Taj Gibson	79	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.08	21	-10	31	14.7	17.9	-3.20	15.2	14.0	1.21
Jeff Teague	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-3	17	15.3	15.3	-0.06	15.2	14.2	0.99
Jimmy Butler	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	0	11	15.5	14.5	1.02	15.4	13.5	1.95
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	8	-5	16.2	10.8	5.36	15.2	14.0	1.18
Nemanja Bjelica	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	10	-9	13.5	16.1	-2.58	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Jamal Crawford	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	15	-19	14.9	15.4	-0.49	13.7	15.5	-1.86
Tyus Jones	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	14	-17	15.3	15.3	0.06	14.2	15.2	-0.99
Shabazz Muhammad	16	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.27	-11	22	-33	17.9	14.7	3.20	13.8	15.2	-1.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-19	27	11.6	15.8	-4.18	16.9	14.9	2.06
Alec Burks	33	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-14	17	14.9	15.0	-0.12	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Ekpe Udoh	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-22	33	13.8	16.0	-2.18	15.4	15.1	0.31
Raul Neto	37	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-19	27	12.6	16.5	-3.95	15.3	15.2	0.06
Rodney Hood	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	15.3	14.7	0.53	14.9	15.6	-0.63
Jonas Jerebko	46	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	15.6	14.4	1.17	16.1	14.4	1.64
Ricky Rubio	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	0	-11	16.5	13.8	2.61	15.4	15.2	0.21
Thabo Sefolosha	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-1	-9	14.6	15.4	-0.83	14.2	16.3	-2.08
Donovan Mitchell	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	15.2	14.6	0.54	15.7	14.2	1.49
Derrick Favors	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.27	-22	11	-33	16.0	13.8	2.18	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Joe Ingles	46	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	13	-37	16.3	13.7	2.58	14.5	16.1	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
BOS 119, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAC 97, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%