NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	2.7 [1219]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +11.8%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.1 [999]		LVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): -8.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	11	73%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	54%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	56%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	11	68%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	16	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	17	67%	0.14	3	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.07	5	80%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	14	53%	-0.02	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	26.2	15.3	28.4	1.8	27.2	125.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.0%

MIN +9.8%

MIN +8.9%

MIN +6.2%

MIN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.1	116.7	102.1	105.2
season	14.6	16.2		107.3	102.1
opponent	14.8	14.5		109.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	17.2	13.7	16.0	15.1
UTA	13.9	14.1	16.3	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	77	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-11	37	14.6	16.9	-2.31	15.2	14.6	0.59
Kevin Martin	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.22	24	-9	33	14.5	15.9	-1.38	15.2	14.9	0.24
Nikola Pekovic	65	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.28	26	-11	37	14.7	16.0	-1.34	15.5	14.2	1.26
Corey Brewer	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-10	35	14.3	17.1	-2.84	15.5	14.1	1.36
Ricky Rubio	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.12	20	-5	25	15.1	15.3	-0.23	15.6	12.6	3.09
Alexey Shved	3	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	11	-7	17.3	15.0	2.31	11.0	15.2	-4.24
Jose Juan Barea	42	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.30	-9	24	-33	15.9	14.5	1.40	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Chase Budinger	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	21	-27	18.5	14.0	4.45	14.2	15.3	-1.17
Ronny Turiaf	26	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	22	-29	17.0	14.4	2.61	14.3	15.4	-1.05
Shabazz Muhammad	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	10.8	15.3	-4.53	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Gorgui Dieng	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	10.8	15.3	-4.53	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Luc Mbah a Moute	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	24	-33	14.8	15.1	-0.38	13.4	15.3	-1.92
Dante Cunningham	19	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	26	-37	16.9	14.6	2.31	14.6	15.2	-0.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	13.8	15.1	-1.33	10.8	15.3	-4.53
Diante Garrett	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	14.9	15.1	-0.22	10.9	15.4	-4.57
Brandon Rush	14	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-14	13	13.1	15.4	-2.25	18.1	14.6	3.45
John Lucas III	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-20	25	15.8	14.6	1.21	17.0	14.0	3.04
Rudy Gobert	54	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.36	10	-25	35	14.7	15.5	-0.79	16.0	14.0	2.02
Alec Burks	56	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-15	15	15.3	14.7	0.67	16.2	13.6	2.56
Jeremy Evans	57	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-15	15	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.6	14.3	1.33
Marvin Williams	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	0	-15	14.8	15.2	-0.37	14.3	15.6	-1.33
Richard Jefferson	36	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	2	-19	15.5	14.8	0.75	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Enes Kanter	41	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.30	-25	10	-35	15.5	14.7	0.79	14.0	16.0	-2.02
Trey Burke	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	5	-25	14.6	15.8	-1.21	14.0	17.0	-3.04
Gordon Hayward	72	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	5	-25	15.1	15.0	0.14	14.9	15.8	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SAS 103, SAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
LAC 122, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%