NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	122		Excitement	3.0 [1207]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +15.8%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.1 [575]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -4.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.00	0.02	12	74%	0.16	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	16	64%	0.08	3	-0.02	10	70%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.05	16	64%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	40%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	78%	0.08	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.04	15	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	74%	0.08	6	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.00	0.10	9	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.5	30.5	20.6	27.2	3.7	32.2	143.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +19.0%

LAC +2.9%

LAC +28.9%

PHX -0.3%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	17.6	13.4	15.6	132.6	103.2	104.4
season	15.2	13.8		103.9	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	18.2	19.2	17.4	17.6
PHX	15.1	10.6	13.5	14.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.21	24	1	23	17.6	17.7	-0.18	13.6	12.2	1.37
Sam Cassell	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.28	26	-1	27	17.1	18.7	-1.59	13.7	12.7	1.06
Cuttino Mobley	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	8	9	17.8	16.5	1.34	13.1	14.9	-1.75
Chris Kaman	47	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.35	24	1	23	16.3	18.9	-2.55	13.1	13.7	-0.59
Quinton Ross	36	36	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.13	16	9	7	17.2	17.8	-0.55	14.7	12.6	2.10
Shaun Livingston	52	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	17	-9	17.5	17.7	-0.24	12.6	14.5	-1.84
Vladimir Radmanovic	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	15	-5	18.2	16.8	1.40	13.8	13.0	0.78
Corey Maggette	31	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	25	-25	18.6	17.1	1.50	13.1	13.6	-0.47
Walter McCarty	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	27	-29	16.2	17.7	-1.47	13.5	13.4	0.08
Daniel Ewing	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	22.0	17.4	4.61	12.6	13.5	-0.87
James Singleton	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	22.0	17.4	4.61	12.6	13.5	-0.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	12.6	13.5	-0.87	22.0	17.4	4.61
Brian Grant	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-19	13	14.5	13.3	1.27	16.1	17.8	-1.70
Tim Thomas	44	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-30	35	14.2	12.7	1.46	19.0	16.4	2.51
Eddie House	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.18	-9	-16	7	14.8	13.1	1.67	16.3	17.9	-1.56
Leandro Barbosa	67	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-21	17	13.2	14.0	-0.86	18.3	15.8	2.51
James Jones	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.46	-27	2	-29	14.2	12.9	1.27	15.9	18.8	-2.88
Steve Nash	67	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-9	-7	12.9	14.6	-1.69	17.7	17.3	0.36
Shawn Marion	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.03	-16	-9	-7	13.4	13.4	0.00	17.7	17.3	0.42
Boris Diaw	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.36	-29	4	-33	13.0	15.4	-2.42	16.9	20.9	-4.00
Raja Bell	75	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	-3	-19	13.3	14.1	-0.85	17.8	16.7	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 103, SAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
POR 114, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%