NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	2.5 [1261]		MVP	Shaun Livingston (LAC): +7.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	1.0 [642]		LVP	Viktor Khryapa (POR): -12.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	18	61%	0.07	2	-0.03	13	77%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	13	100%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	60%	0.03	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Ewing	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.07	9	65%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	57%	0.03	3	-0.04	12	92%	0.03
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.14	8	76%	-0.02	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	7	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.22	0.00	-0.09	8	12%	-0.06	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	30.1	15.6	29.0	2.7	32.5	135.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.8%

LAC +8.8%

POR -6.3%

LAC +4.7%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	15.6	107.8	91.2	104.4
season	15.2	16.6		103.9	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.3	14.1	15.5	17.6	15.1
POR	18.6	14.7	18.8	15.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	68	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.33	30	-16	46	15.3	14.5	0.76	17.4	14.6	2.77
Corey Maggette	66	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-1	16	16.0	12.6	3.34	17.0	15.9	1.10
Elton Brand	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-6	26	14.7	16.0	-1.33	17.6	14.5	3.06
Chris Kaman	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	15.5	14.1	1.38	16.9	16.3	0.65
Quinton Ross	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.15	15	-1	16	16.1	14.4	1.70	18.5	15.6	2.89
Shaun Livingston	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	11	-8	13.5	17.0	-3.50	16.2	17.4	-1.24
Vin Baker	23	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	17	-20	13.6	15.6	-2.03	15.8	17.1	-1.23
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	14	-14	15.3	14.8	0.59	15.7	17.9	-2.21
James Singleton	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	11.5	15.2	-3.74	13.5	16.9	-3.39
Boniface N'Dong	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	8.3	15.3	-6.98	15.0	16.8	-1.78
Daniel Ewing	24	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.38	-15	29	-44	16.1	14.7	1.37	13.7	18.0	-4.26

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	14.6	16.9	-2.26	14.2	15.1	-0.98
Brian Skinner	49	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-19	24	15.5	18.1	-2.61	15.2	15.0	0.20
Travis Outlaw	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-13	12	15.9	17.1	-1.21	15.0	15.1	-0.17
Sebastian Telfair	48	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-18	22	15.3	18.3	-2.97	15.2	14.9	0.33
Viktor Khryapa	51	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	17.1	16.3	0.82	15.5	14.6	0.95
Jarrett Jack	61	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-13	12	16.3	17.7	-1.44	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Steve Blake	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-1	-12	17.7	16.3	1.44	15.8	14.7	1.13
Martell Webster	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-6	-2	16.3	17.6	-1.28	15.3	14.5	0.82
Zach Randolph	41	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	4	-22	17.7	16.0	1.68	14.1	15.9	-1.85
Juan Dixon	41	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.11	-16	2	-18	18.2	15.5	2.70	15.2	14.9	0.31
Joel Przybilla	38	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	8	-30	18.6	15.4	3.21	14.9	15.2	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 103, SAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
UTA 97, MIN 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%