NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	129		Excitement	2.5 [1248]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): +15.7%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.0 [1206]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (PHX): -8.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.22	0.00	0.06	7	116%	0.18	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	65%	0.12	5	-0.05	15	87%	0.03
Ante Zizic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	92%	0.05	3	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JR Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
London Perrantes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Holland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	7	14%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.14	0.00	0.16	14	77%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	17	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	16	49%	0.03	5	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	7	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	14%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	6	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	42%	0.00	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	10	43%	-0.02	5	-0.06	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.4	29.3	14.7	29.2	2.3	23.3	130.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.4%

CLE +10.7%

CLE +0.4%

CLE +5.7%

CLE +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	12.0	14.7	117.3	95.5	107.5
season	14.8	14.2		111.2	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		111.8	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.5	14.5	12.7	16.3	13.9
PHX	13.2	10.8	11.8	12.5	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	55	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	0	22	12.5	15.3	-2.82	12.4	11.7	0.66
George Hill	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	2	18	13.0	15.2	-2.27	12.2	11.8	0.41
LeBron James	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	-1	24	13.4	15.2	-1.76	11.9	12.3	-0.37
Jeff Green	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	4	14	12.2	16.6	-4.41	12.8	10.9	1.91
Larry Nance Jr.	33	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	5	12	12.6	14.5	-1.83	12.5	11.9	0.61
John Holland	62	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	12	-2	14.5	13.1	1.44	11.7	12.6	-0.91
JR Smith	52	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	12	-2	14.3	13.6	0.78	11.5	12.5	-1.02
Ante Zizic	30	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	19	-16	16.0	13.1	2.82	12.3	11.9	0.33
Jordan Clarkson	58	60	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	25	-28	15.7	11.9	3.86	11.1	13.2	-2.07
London Perrantes	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	18.3	13.4	4.96	11.8	12.1	-0.31
Jose Calderon	37	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	30	-38	15.4	13.2	2.20	12.6	11.8	0.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davon Reed	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	11.8	12.1	-0.31	18.3	13.4	4.96
Tyler Ulis	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-24	26	9.6	13.2	-3.59	15.2	13.3	1.88
Marquese Chriss	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-26	30	10.9	12.7	-1.76	14.9	13.4	1.52
Alex Len	12	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-21	20	11.4	12.1	-0.70	13.6	13.9	-0.31
Jared Dudley	48	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-27	32	11.6	12.4	-0.77	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Shaquille Harrison	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-19	16	11.5	12.2	-0.64	16.2	13.3	2.91
Troy Daniels	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-15	8	11.8	12.2	-0.46	14.2	13.7	0.52
Elfrid Payton	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	-2	-18	13.5	10.7	2.74	12.6	15.3	-2.71
Josh Jackson	82	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.20	-20	-2	-18	12.2	11.6	0.61	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Dragan Bender	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.31	-24	2	-26	13.0	11.1	1.92	13.8	14.1	-0.28
TJ Warren	76	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	-1	-20	12.8	10.4	2.48	13.2	15.5	-2.38
Devin Booker	81	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.32	-27	5	-32	11.9	12.5	-0.70	13.3	15.6	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SEA 111, GSW 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIN 113, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%