NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	2.1 [1229]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +6.6%
Golden State Warriors	84		Comeback	1.0 [969]		LVP	Jim Jackson (GSW): -12.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	12	56%	0.05	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	17	58%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	0%	-0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	6	93%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	16	47%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Micheal Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	14	52%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	58%	0.01	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	8	40%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	38%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.23	0.00	-0.11	21	28%	-0.10	3	-0.03	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.6	26.1	14.8	24.1	2.8	27.7	120.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +47.1%

GSW -5.9%

GSW -3.9%

MIN +12.1%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.7	14.9	15.6	111.9	83.2	102.5
season	14.8	15.6		105.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.7		102.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.2	13.0	16.0	13.6	13.7
GSW	16.6	16.5	13.5	13.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	67	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	8	13	13.8	13.4	0.45	15.7	13.3	2.42
Anthony Peeler	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	5	19	13.7	13.6	0.01	15.1	14.5	0.56
Sam Mitchell	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.46	30	-1	31	13.6	13.9	-0.32	15.8	12.7	3.09
Stephon Marbury	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.52	32	-3	35	12.7	15.3	-2.57	15.4	13.9	1.42
Cherokee Parks	56	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	17	-5	14.2	12.9	1.34	15.0	14.7	0.34
Stanley Roberts	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.30	15	14	1	13.2	13.9	-0.67	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Tom Hammonds	55	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	20	-11	13.5	13.9	-0.44	13.6	16.5	-2.90
Terry Porter	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	30	-31	16.1	12.6	3.53	15.3	14.7	0.58
Chris Carr	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.35	13	16	-3	13.3	13.8	-0.46	13.7	15.4	-1.70
Micheal Williams	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	12.2	13.9	-1.63	12.4	15.2	-2.84
Reggie Jordan	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	12.2	13.9	-1.63	12.4	15.2	-2.84
DeJuan Wheat	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	35	-41	17.3	13.4	3.91	14.0	14.9	-0.93

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Madkins	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-31	33	12.4	15.2	-2.84	12.2	13.9	-1.63
Adonal Foyle	18	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-25	21	12.2	15.4	-3.28	11.5	14.1	-2.55
Todd Fuller	41	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-27	25	14.0	15.4	-1.37	14.2	13.2	0.94
Tony Delk	48	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-20	11	13.9	15.7	-1.76	14.4	13.0	1.36
Clar. Weatherspoon	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-21	13	15.6	14.1	1.59	15.1	12.2	2.88
Jason Caffey	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-19	9	14.4	15.5	-1.09	13.5	13.8	-0.33
Donyell Marshall	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.39	-27	-2	-25	15.6	13.8	1.74	13.7	13.5	0.17
Jim Jackson	87	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.41	-28	-1	-27	15.1	13.4	1.75	13.3	15.9	-2.64
Muggsy Bogues	59	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.41	-29	0	-29	15.5	13.9	1.60	13.6	13.7	-0.06
Erick Dampier	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.41	-30	1	-31	15.5	13.5	1.99	13.1	14.8	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
LAL 107, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
SAS 98, LAC 81	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%