inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 92 Excitement2.4 [1264] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +12.0%
San Antonio Spurs 103 Comeback1.1 [1177] LVPSasha Pavlovic (CLE): -6.9%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Gibson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.051260%0.0200.001100%0.00
Anderson Varejao0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.06273%0.0100.00757%-0.03
Ira Newble0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scot Pollard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02847%-0.0000.003100%0.01
Drew Gooden-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.051252%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Damon Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.000.06475%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Snow-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Donyell Marshall-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.04450%-0.0300.002100%0.00
LeBron James-0.050,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.042147%0.006-0.051164%-0.02
Larry Hughes-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.0650%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.001142%-0.023-0.0520%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.170.000.052068%0.142-0.02475%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.14-0.010.091176%0.093-0.0411100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.041659%0.061-0.02771%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.003100%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01362%0.0200.002100%0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05625%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01350%0.011-0.0220%-0.02
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03425%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.110.00-0.08917%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.13.537.520.531.23.827.4156.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +43.4%
SAS +2.7%
SAS +1.0%
SAS +2.2%
SAS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLESASNBACLESASNBA
this game16.016.715.4105.7115.7104.5
season16.016.2103.2107.5
opponent15.415.698.999.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.116.217.114.416.0
SAS14.016.516.420.616.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Jones26290.05-0.550.61-0.5019-304914.016.9-2.8518.116.12.00
Ira Newble12-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-111110.016.1-6.0712.516.8-4.32
Scot Pollard12-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-111110.016.1-6.0712.516.8-4.32
Donyell Marshall3738-0.15-0.350.20-0.367-182514.916.8-1.8317.616.11.55
Eric Snow1921-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-2-717.115.71.4114.117.5-3.43
Larry Hughes3837-0.22-0.280.070.19-143-1715.916.1-0.2317.416.21.13
Drew Gooden4344-0.22-0.280.060.13-121-1316.715.31.3317.316.11.18
Anderson Varejao5153-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.362-131516.016.0-0.0516.616.9-0.33
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4241-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-198-2716.415.60.7815.617.6-2.01
LeBron James6868-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.20-5-6116.115.50.6117.713.64.12
Sasha Pavlovic4950-0.38-0.12-0.270.29-2312-3516.914.82.0616.117.5-1.46
Daniel Gibson6060-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.36-1-10915.816.4-0.5916.117.9-1.75

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry51470.410.090.32-0.3827-164315.019.0-3.9317.514.23.33
Manu Ginobili54530.390.110.29-0.1017-62315.418.7-3.2916.914.62.27
Bruce Bowen75740.380.120.270.2165117.512.64.9215.220.5-5.34
Tim Duncan64660.370.130.250.08101917.714.13.6115.617.1-1.51
Tony Parker64630.350.150.200.06101917.414.92.5016.414.91.50
Jacque Vaughn25240.150.35-0.200.12110-914.917.4-2.5014.916.4-1.50
Michael Finley26250.140.36-0.210.0638-518.416.02.4115.816.1-0.34
Fabricio Oberto39380.140.36-0.220.11110-916.816.60.1815.316.6-1.26
Brent Barry21210.080.42-0.340.20-415-1915.617.1-1.5017.115.61.51
Francisco Elson24230.080.42-0.350.55-1627-4317.416.50.9615.116.3-1.24
Beno Udrih210.000.50-0.500.00011-1112.516.8-4.3210.016.1-6.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 83, SEA 1220.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
MIL 72, SEA 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
LAL 83, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%