NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	72		Excitement	2.0 [1294]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +10.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.1 [1149]		LVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): -9.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damir Markota	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	38%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
David Noel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lynn Greer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	24%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Hodge	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	9	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	10	18%	-0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.00	13	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	11	18%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	13	78%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	93%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	12	52%	0.03	4	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	41%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	9	27%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	8	12%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	26.5	13.6	26.7	2.0	25.2	118.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +35.5%

SEA +2.2%

SEA +11.2%

SEA +1.1%

MIL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SEA	NBA	MIL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.4	77.4	106.5	104.5
season	15.2	15.4		105.3	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	16.7	12.8	15.3	15.0
SEA	12.1	17.6	16.0	19.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damir Markota	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-28	29	15.3	14.9	0.39	19.0	15.1	3.90
Ersan Ilyasova	42	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-23	19	14.0	15.9	-1.84	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Julius Hodge	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-25	23	12.5	15.6	-3.14	18.9	15.2	3.72
Lynn Greer	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-24	21	15.6	14.7	0.96	17.7	14.9	2.85
Dan Gadzuric	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-22	17	15.3	14.9	0.44	16.2	15.8	0.42
David Noel	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-18	9	17.2	14.2	2.91	14.1	16.6	-2.48
Brian Skinner	53	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	-7	-13	14.7	15.5	-0.82	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Ruben Patterson	41	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-8	-11	16.7	13.7	3.04	16.0	15.9	0.07
Earl Boykins	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.30	-24	-3	-21	14.5	16.4	-1.90	15.1	17.9	-2.85
Charlie Bell	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.29	-24	-3	-21	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Andrew Bogut	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.33	-26	-1	-25	14.6	16.2	-1.66	15.3	17.4	-2.02

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	54	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.30	25	2	23	15.9	16.0	-0.16	16.8	12.8	3.98
Nick Collison	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.29	24	3	21	15.7	16.6	-0.91	15.4	14.0	1.40
Chris Wilcox	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.30	24	3	21	14.1	18.3	-4.24	15.4	14.6	0.76
Earl Watson	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.34	25	2	23	14.1	18.7	-4.60	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Mickael Gelabale	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	18	-9	16.3	15.4	0.93	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Damien Wilkins	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.21	15	12	3	16.9	14.2	2.72	15.1	14.9	0.24
Luke Ridnour	39	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	18	-9	14.9	16.7	-1.79	16.1	14.2	1.99
Johan Petro	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	20	-13	17.2	15.1	2.10	15.6	14.7	0.92
Andre Brown	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	28	-29	18.2	14.9	3.35	12.8	16.0	-3.25
Mike Wilks	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	19.5	15.0	4.51	12.2	15.7	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, SEA 122	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CLE 92, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	97.6%
PHI 76, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%