inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 119 Excitement10.5 [57] MVPBrent Barry (SAS): +66.0%
San Antonio Spurs 128 Comeback10.4 [166] LVPMike Bibby (SAC): -42.7%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.390.150.24-0.001966%0.411-0.033100%0.06
Kevin Martin0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.130.110.021565%0.261-0.0410100%0.10
Kenny Thomas0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.040.01860%0.093-0.064100%0.03
Francisco Garcia0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.09-0.090.011767%0.183-0.19850%-0.14
Jason Hart-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00450%0.031-0.0700%0.00
Brad Miller-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01839%-0.022-0.072100%0.02
Mike Bibby-0.430,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,-0.29,-0.32,-0.4,-0.43,-0.43-0.17-0.27-0.011635%-0.145-0.281182%0.04

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.660.660.200.460.001285%0.6600.002100%0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.34,0.330.330.200.13-0.002062%0.3300.001275%-0.07
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.100.02867%0.1600.002100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.110.110.040.070.002100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.000.00592%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00475%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.040.001050%-0.011-0.02875%-0.03
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04-0.04-0.050.050.041656%0.167-0.21786%-0.03
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.00523%-0.0700.003100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.73.531.519.732.03.846.01.623.2191.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +68.2%
SAS +0.5%
SAC -55.8%
SAS +44.0%
SAC -6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSASNBASACSASNBA
this game15.215.215.6113.3123.1104.4
season15.316.3104.7106.0
opponent15.615.599.4103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAC13.715.514.819.111.915.2
SAS18.415.114.015.212.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bonzi Wells84840.27-0.771.040.33-2-7516.012.23.7515.812.63.21
Kenny Thomas72730.21-0.710.930.30-3-6316.512.44.1016.013.32.71
Kevin Martin77780.07-0.570.64-0.085-141915.514.51.0115.614.01.64
Brad Miller56540.04-0.540.58-0.022-111314.316.3-2.0815.215.2-0.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim6867-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.20-5-4-115.514.80.6615.215.20.00
Francisco Garcia78-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.360-9914.115.3-1.1713.415.3-1.97
Jason Hart3734-0.650.15-0.79-0.41-8-1-714.615.6-0.9114.715.4-0.77
Mike Bibby9898-0.740.24-0.98-0.27-167-2315.018.4-3.4214.821.0-6.16

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili75740.83-0.331.170.2819-102914.916.0-1.1714.317.5-3.14
Tony Parker87880.80-0.301.100.3615-62114.518.8-4.2714.916.9-2.03
Tim Duncan70730.56-0.060.630.1514-51914.217.2-2.9914.816.2-1.37
Michael Finley57580.440.060.39-0.0517-82514.915.6-0.7415.914.41.55
Nazr Mohammed46460.100.40-0.290.0427-515.714.80.8615.814.80.93
Brent Barry49510.070.43-0.350.13-211-1314.615.7-1.1415.914.61.25
Rasho Nesterovic27250.040.46-0.430.07-110-1117.414.42.9914.815.4-0.63
Robert Horry3938-0.010.51-0.530.22-817-2516.014.71.2915.415.10.25
Bruce Bowen5355-0.040.54-0.590.10-514-1915.714.61.0715.415.10.30
Nick Van Exel1717-0.300.80-1.10-0.13-615-2118.814.54.2716.914.92.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.53,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.84,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,188.9%
POR 96, LAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.4,0.54,0.32,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.98,187.9%
CLE 77, DAL 840.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.84,187.9%