NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	77		Excitement	10.8 [28]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +0.7%
Dallas Mavericks	84		Comeback	5.9 [82]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -58.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Dumas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	12	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.03	13	46%	0.06	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	13	50%	-0.03	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.04
Brevin Knight	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	9	44%	-0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	21	46%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.05
Cedric Henderson	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34	-0.07	-0.27	0.00	7	43%	-0.13	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.59	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.37,-0.37,-0.52,-0.59,-0.59,-0.59,-0.59	-0.20	-0.39	-0.01	12	17%	-0.40	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	30	54%	-0.00	6	-0.17	12	83%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.19	-0.06	5	27%	-0.22	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	10	25%	-0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	0.00	9	47%	-0.06	4	-0.21	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	22.8	16.8	23.5	2.4	27.6	1.4	15.3	138.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -9.9%

DAL +29.5%

DAL +30.0%

DAL +7.8%

CLE -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.6	79.4	83.2	102.5
season	15.4	15.8		99.4	98.3
opponent	15.5	16.0		104.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	15.2	15.2	14.9	19.6	16.7	16.2
DAL	16.1	14.8	17.0	15.7	16.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	83	87	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-9	11	15.9	17.6	-1.72	16.0	15.5	0.52
Tony Dumas	7	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	12.1	16.5	-4.35	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Derek Anderson	45	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-6	5	15.8	16.5	-0.70	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Danny Ferry	30	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	15.8	16.3	-0.54	16.3	15.8	0.44
Scott Brooks	3	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	0	-7	15.3	16.2	-0.87	8.2	16.3	-8.02
Vitaly Potapenko	59	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-11	15	16.4	15.8	0.63	17.5	14.1	3.38
Shawn Kemp	65	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	15.7	17.1	-1.42	15.7	16.4	-0.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	38	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	17.6	15.3	2.31	15.4	16.4	-0.92
Cedric Henderson	74	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	16.8	14.1	2.68	16.3	14.7	1.57
Brevin Knight	72	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	1	-9	16.0	16.6	-0.52	15.9	16.0	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	66	64	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-4	15	15.5	16.9	-1.43	16.9	14.8	2.06
Shawn Bradley	45	45	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	1	5	17.4	14.8	2.53	17.1	15.4	1.66
Michael Finley	98	94	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	15.9	19.0	-3.14	16.5	7.0	9.47
Samaki Walker	63	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	16.1	15.7	0.34	16.9	15.0	1.90
Erick Strickland	75	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	1	5	16.4	14.7	1.75	16.2	16.0	0.24
Khalid Reeves	44	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-5	17	13.7	17.7	-4.02	16.9	15.6	1.29
Eric Riley	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	18.4	15.7	2.74	14.3	16.4	-2.03
Dennis Scott	35	34	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	14	-21	15.5	16.2	-0.71	13.8	17.5	-3.67
Hubert Davis	70	67	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.16	-5	12	-17	16.4	15.0	1.42	14.8	19.3	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, SAC 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	90.5%
DET 85, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	90.2%
NYK 102, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.83,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.85,1	89.1%