inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 85 Excitement10.0 [59] MVPCalbert Cheaney (GSW): +34.9%
Golden State Warriors 87 Comeback5.7 [273] LVPNick Van Exel (GSW): -53.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.050,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011173%0.123-0.0600%0.00
Bob Sura-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03731%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00367%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.0020%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.02-0.090.011054%-0.062-0.06475%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15-0.14-0.03-0.022040%0.014-0.163100%0.02
Chauncey Billups-0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.34,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.32-0.06-0.260.001354%0.034-0.359100%0.09
Ben Wallace-0.340,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.42,-0.42,-0.34,-0.34-0.10-0.24-0.011039%-0.133-0.20333%-0.03

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.350.350.130.220.001675%0.412-0.0600%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.020.00657%0.0000.002100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01492%0.265-0.31580%0.01
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.02520%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.011333%-0.081-0.02450%-0.02
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.09-0.00668%0.074-0.207100%0.04
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.26-0.26-0.12-0.140.011136%-0.084-0.1800%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.31,-0.37,-0.42,-0.42,-0.51,-0.53-0.53-0.19-0.38-0.041524%-0.532-0.01450%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.42.831.616.825.13.430.32.518.1155.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +29.3%
DET -12.2%
GSW +3.9%
GSW +15.2%
GSW +13.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETGSWNBADETGSWNBA
this game15.415.515.782.584.5100.5
season16.216.199.2100.8
opponent15.316.0101.692.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET16.012.915.918.812.915.4
GSW13.414.816.818.214.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mehmet Okur45440.19-0.690.880.103-5814.915.8-0.9215.315.6-0.34
Tremaine Fowlkes14130.17-0.670.840.141-3412.615.9-3.2818.015.12.90
Bob Sura13130.07-0.570.640.070-2218.115.03.0516.215.40.79
Lindsey Hunter27270.00-0.500.500.09-31-415.415.40.0514.615.8-1.18
Elden Campbell3233-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-1016.215.01.2214.016.2-2.20
Tayshaun Prince7978-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.574-61015.116.3-1.2115.415.6-0.23
Corliss Williamson6262-0.540.04-0.59-0.40-53-816.513.72.8216.713.73.00
Richard Hamilton8586-0.580.08-0.65-0.580-2215.017.6-2.6015.615.00.56
Ben Wallace7576-0.630.13-0.76-0.48-53-815.515.00.5114.917.0-2.08
Chauncey Billups8383-0.680.18-0.86-0.56-42-615.216.3-1.1715.515.30.21

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Cardinal68670.71-0.210.930.3612-102215.914.61.3116.912.74.13
Calbert Cheaney95950.60-0.100.700.426-41015.317.1-1.8016.08.67.35
Nick Van Exel90910.52-0.020.530.5202-215.316.5-1.2314.820.0-5.20
Clifford Robinson73720.430.070.360.52-35-815.315.8-0.5215.016.3-1.22
Erick Dampier67680.380.120.260.3802-216.513.62.8517.311.75.64
Avery Johnson550.030.47-0.45-0.0011015.015.5-0.497.215.8-8.63
Mike Dunleavy4851-0.030.53-0.550.12-57-1215.115.8-0.7613.517.3-3.84
Speedy Claxton3130-0.070.57-0.64-0.0702-215.015.7-0.6715.715.30.41
Cherokee Parks3836-0.070.57-0.64-0.04-13-414.915.8-0.9513.516.4-2.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 77, DAL 840.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.84,190.2%
BOS 88, IND 930.5,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.58,190.1%
SAS 101, GSW 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.63,0.33,0.84,189.8%