NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	10.8 [38]		MVP	Mark Blount (BOS): +6.0%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	5.9 [370]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -64.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.15	-0.15	0.02	10	90%	0.07	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06	0.07	-0.11	0.02	11	59%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	9	26%	-0.17	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32,-0.5,-0.5	-0.10	-0.39	0.01	23	44%	-0.30	4	-0.20	2	0%	-0.18
Paul Pierce	-0.65	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.33,-0.33,-0.45,-0.45,-0.52,-0.6,-0.6,-0.65	-0.23	-0.42	-0.00	21	33%	-0.48	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	72%	0.18	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	0.01	15	63%	0.15	4	-0.27	11	91%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	8	25%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	10	36%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.37,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.15	0.02	16	49%	-0.13	3	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.28,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.06	-0.34	-0.00	18	35%	-0.40	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	28.1	16.6	23.4	2.5	33.2	2.5	19.4	152.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +20.3%

IND +22.8%

IND +25.0%

BOS -14.1%

BOS -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	17.3	16.9	15.5	95.7	98.9	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		99.3	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.2	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	17.6	15.9	16.5	21.3	13.9	17.3
IND	17.5	16.8	17.0	16.6	15.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	30	28	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-8	11	18.9	16.5	2.38	17.5	16.6	0.94
J.R. Bremer	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	18.4	16.9	1.47	14.0	17.8	-3.80
Eric Williams	64	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	4	-13	18.0	15.8	2.16	16.6	17.5	-0.84
Tony Battie	32	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-5	5	15.5	18.3	-2.75	17.3	16.6	0.71
Tony Delk	67	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-4	3	16.9	18.4	-1.47	17.8	14.0	3.80
Antoine Walker	88	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	17.0	24.7	-7.76	16.9	16.2	0.65
Walter McCarty	74	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	17.1	18.2	-1.11	17.1	15.9	1.15
Paul Pierce	80	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	2	-9	17.5	16.2	1.24	16.4	19.9	-3.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	44	42	1.14	-0.64	1.79	0.76	13	-8	21	14.6	18.9	-4.25	18.1	16.7	1.42
Ron Mercer	76	74	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-10	25	16.1	20.3	-4.21	17.3	17.3	0.06
Jermaine O'Neal	88	86	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	16.9	15.8	1.11	17.4	16.3	1.06
Metta World Peace	79	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	17.5	13.5	4.05	17.9	13.9	4.01
Tim Hardaway	51	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	3	-1	16.1	17.8	-1.78	16.6	18.2	-1.66
Jeff Foster	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.21	-5	10	-15	14.9	18.4	-3.45	15.4	18.9	-3.49
Austin Croshere	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	22.2	16.6	5.63	17.8	17.3	0.50
Reggie Miller	51	52	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.40	8	-3	11	18.1	15.4	2.64	18.0	16.5	1.51
Brad Miller	17	15	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	13	-21	21.3	15.9	5.40	17.0	17.4	-0.39
Jamaal Tinsley	18	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.02	-10	15	-25	20.3	16.1	4.21	17.3	17.3	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 132, DET 133	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.78,0.57,0.42,1	90.4%
NYK 94, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.57,0.9,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.32,0.15,1	90.3%
DET 85, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	90.1%