NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	10.9 [29]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +54.1%
Miami Heat	95		Comeback	17.8 [69]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (MIA): -34.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.04	-0.05	18	57%	0.12	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.00	9	45%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	21	44%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.24,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.25,-0.32,-0.22,-0.26	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	16	39%	-0.08	4	-0.18	1	100%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.23,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,0.54	0.54	-0.11	0.64	-0.01	21	36%	0.67	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.33	0.01	7	100%	0.50	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	5	130%	0.21	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	23	61%	0.13	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.04
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.23	-0.14	-0.03	14	7%	-0.25	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.8	3.3	28.5	18.7	26.1	2.4	42.3	2.4	19.2	171.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +98.4%

NYK -17.0%

NYK -19.0%

NYK -8.6%

NYK -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	17.0	16.7	15.2	98.9	101.1	101.7
season	16.1	15.7		100.0	101.2
opponent	15.9	15.8		98.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.0	19.4	16.0	17.1	18.3	17.0
MIA	17.8	17.5	16.7	15.7	15.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	42	42	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.21	4	-5	9	15.9	17.8	-1.85	16.9	16.6	0.30
Larry Johnson	53	51	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.16	-4	3	-7	16.7	17.3	-0.59	17.1	16.2	0.89
Kurt Thomas	30	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.23	-11	10	-21	17.8	16.6	1.23	14.9	17.5	-2.55
Allan Houston	87	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.50	3	-4	7	16.6	21.4	-4.82	17.2	11.8	5.43
Patrick Ewing	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.69	8	-9	17	16.6	17.8	-1.17	17.3	15.0	2.25
Chris Childs	53	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	1	-3	17.8	15.9	1.85	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Latrell Sprewell	82	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.57	-1	0	-1	17.1	16.1	1.02	16.2	20.1	-3.85
Marcus Camby	59	58	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.71	-2	1	-3	17.5	16.0	1.54	16.5	17.0	-0.55

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	62	64	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.85	3	-2	5	17.0	16.0	1.05	16.3	18.2	-1.88
Alonzo Mourning	83	85	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.53	-1	2	-3	16.8	15.7	1.09	16.6	20.4	-3.85
Tim Hardaway	69	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.49	-2	3	-5	16.8	16.5	0.29	16.5	18.3	-1.78
Jamal Mashburn	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-7	15	17.0	15.9	1.11	16.7	17.8	-1.12
Anthony Carter	25	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	-2	5	16.5	16.8	-0.29	18.3	16.5	1.78
Clar. Weatherspoon	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	0	1	16.2	17.0	-0.79	18.2	16.3	1.88
Otis Thorpe	16	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	16.5	16.7	-0.23	19.8	16.5	3.32
Dan Majerle	58	60	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	8	-15	17.3	15.7	1.66	16.2	18.3	-2.15
Bruce Bowen	39	39	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.46	1	0	1	15.7	17.4	-1.75	17.9	16.3	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.57,0.9,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.32,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.16,1	90.4%
BOS 88, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	90.3%
PHI 132, DET 133	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.78,0.57,0.42,1	87.2%