NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	132		Excitement	14.6 [11]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +114.4%
Detroit Pistons	133		Comeback	7.6 [167]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -25.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	1.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.61,1.14	0.18	0.85	-0.11	21	61%	1.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.20
Mike Muscala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.02	11	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Markelle Fultz	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,-0.01	0.13	-0.16	-0.01	20	61%	0.16	1	-0.17	14	79%	-0.06
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.18	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Dario Saric	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.03	-0.23	-0.01	16	40%	-0.23	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.98	0.98	0.27	0.72	0.01	35	62%	1.15	1	-0.17	11	45%	0.06
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.19	0.22	-0.01	12	84%	0.42	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.1,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.06	0.03	14	68%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.12
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.09	0.01	14	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.21	-0.06	-0.03	20	32%	-0.06	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.8	1.7	32.0	14.7	26.2	2.5	39.5	2.5	20.0	168.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -31.2%

DET +32.2%

DET +17.3%

DET +16.6%

DET +15.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	14.3	122.2	120.9	109.3
season	14.0	15.3		110.9	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.1		109.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.6	14.8	14.5	14.5	14.3	14.3
DET	14.7	13.5	15.5	15.8	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	77	80	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.10	7	-8	15	13.9	15.4	-1.43	14.1	16.7	-2.56
Markelle Fultz	42	45	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-4	7	14.7	14.1	0.66	15.1	14.6	0.46
Mike Muscala	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	14.1	14.4	-0.36	14.9	14.8	0.02
Landry Shamet	48	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	4	-9	14.5	14.2	0.34	15.1	14.6	0.55
Joel Embiid	76	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-4	7	14.6	13.6	1.05	15.4	13.2	2.20
Dario Saric	77	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-2	3	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Robert Covington	90	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.49	-1	0	-1	14.7	12.3	2.40	15.3	12.7	2.60
T.J. McConnell	66	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	3	-7	14.1	14.7	-0.66	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Amir Johnson	30	27	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.59	-7	6	-13	13.2	14.8	-1.62	13.5	15.3	-1.75

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	80	78	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.49	10	-9	19	15.1	14.2	0.83	14.4	14.0	0.42
Reggie Bullock	87	88	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.52	9	-8	17	14.7	15.4	-0.76	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Blake Griffin	91	92	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-3	7	15.1	13.5	1.58	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Langston Galloway	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.61	-6	7	-13	14.4	15.2	-0.86	14.3	14.4	-0.15
Stanley Johnson	39	37	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	1	-1	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.0	14.0	1.01
Ish Smith	69	66	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	1	-1	14.7	15.1	-0.46	14.5	14.1	0.43
Andre Drummond	76	73	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	-3	7	14.9	14.7	0.15	14.5	14.1	0.41
Luke Kennard	22	21	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	9	-17	14.9	14.8	0.03	14.7	14.3	0.41
Zaza Pachulia	34	34	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.13	-8	9	-17	14.7	14.9	-0.15	14.3	14.3	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.78,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	90.4%
NOK 95, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.28,1	89.9%
DET 85, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	89.0%