NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	11.5 [29]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (GSW): +56.9%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	25.5 [27]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -22.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.27	0.11	0.16	0.00	15	62%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.03,-0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.16,0.16	-0.01	0.17	0.00	17	49%	0.39	2	-0.23	3	67%	-0.07
Tiago Splitter	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	7	53%	0.12	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.11
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nando De Colo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	16	45%	-0.06	3	-0.11	10	70%	-0.03
Tony Parker	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	0.01	18	43%	-0.18	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.57	0.57	0.10	0.47	0.01	22	57%	0.62	1	-0.05	9	78%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.10	0.02	20	54%	0.18	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	73%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	17	49%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	14	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	8	32%	-0.11	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	0.1	26.8	16.7	31.5	3.5	36.1	1.7	19.3	159.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +19.3%

GSW +22.3%

GSW +19.2%

SAS -2.7%

SAS -8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	13.4	15.4	92.7	97.3	104.1
season	15.2	14.6		106.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		103.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	14.7	18.8	14.2	16.1	14.4	15.7
GSW	13.0	13.3	14.1	13.9	11.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	20	20	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.08	6	-12	18	15.8	15.7	0.14	14.4	13.1	1.27
Tiago Splitter	56	53	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.13	10	-16	26	15.0	16.4	-1.38	13.8	13.0	0.75
DeJuan Blair	5	6	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-8	10	17.2	15.6	1.58	14.5	13.3	1.20
Matt Bonner	22	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-5	4	17.2	15.3	1.93	13.8	13.2	0.51
Boris Diaw	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	3	-12	15.3	15.9	-0.63	12.4	13.8	-1.44
Nando De Colo	11	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	3	-12	17.4	15.5	1.86	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Gary Neal	18	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	2	-10	18.6	15.1	3.43	13.5	13.3	0.20
Manu Ginobili	57	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	3	-12	14.5	17.0	-2.44	12.9	13.9	-0.91
Kawhi Leonard	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	4	-14	15.8	15.3	0.56	12.8	14.7	-1.83
Danny Green	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.58	4	-10	14	15.4	16.4	-0.93	14.1	11.5	2.58
Tim Duncan	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	-5	4	15.7	15.7	-0.02	13.6	12.8	0.73
Tony Parker	84	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.49	-5	-1	-4	15.9	15.1	0.74	13.0	14.5	-1.44

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	65	63	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.57	11	-5	16	13.4	13.2	0.20	15.5	16.0	-0.46
Jarrett Jack	86	86	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.23	19	-13	32	13.2	14.1	-0.97	16.2	14.0	2.19
Stephen Curry	92	92	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.59	0	6	-6	13.4	13.1	0.30	16.0	13.9	2.07
David Lee	86	86	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	8	-10	13.5	12.9	0.57	16.2	13.7	2.47
Richard Jefferson	14	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	0	6	14.2	13.2	0.97	13.6	16.0	-2.35
Draymond Green	30	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.25	13	-7	20	12.1	13.8	-1.74	13.5	16.4	-2.88
Klay Thompson	90	90	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	12	-18	13.5	12.8	0.63	15.9	14.9	0.96
Kent Bazemore	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	6	-6	3.0	13.6	-10.56	3.0	15.8	-12.81
Festus Ezeli	8	10	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	5	-4	15.1	13.2	1.90	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Carl Landry	45	46	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.37	6	0	6	13.2	13.5	-0.28	15.3	16.0	-0.66
Andris Biedrins	32	31	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.21	-18	24	-42	14.2	13.0	1.21	16.0	15.6	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.63,0.33,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	89.8%
BOS 88, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	88.0%
SAS 96, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.91,1	87.6%