NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	10.7 [29]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +32.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	13.4 [101]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -28.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.32	0.09	0.22	-0.01	17	65%	0.48	2	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.06	-0.14	-0.01	16	65%	0.14	3	-0.22	2	100%	0.05
Zach Randolph	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.27,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	19	32%	-0.04	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.08	-0.20	0.01	7	61%	-0.03	5	-0.25	4	25%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.24	0.00	8	56%	0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.02	25	58%	0.25	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.07
Predrag Drobnjak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	12	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	12	46%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	0.00	16	41%	-0.20	1	-0.03	12	50%	-0.11
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.01	-0.25	0.01	7	57%	-0.03	2	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	30.5	15.0	27.0	1.8	41.1	1.5	13.3	156.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -24.5%

LAC +13.3%

LAC +25.7%

LAC +39.6%

POR -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	18.1	16.6	15.7	104.3	113.2	100.5
season	17.1	15.5		101.5	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	19.1	16.0	20.6	17.4	17.0	18.1
LAC	16.9	19.1	15.4	16.9	13.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	9	8	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.10	-1	-6	5	14.1	18.5	-4.42	12.0	17.1	-5.10
Dale Davis	76	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	18.7	15.1	3.60	17.2	14.2	2.91
Derek Anderson	61	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-13	19	17.0	20.4	-3.40	17.4	15.2	2.21
Zach Randolph	72	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	3	-13	18.9	15.3	3.58	15.8	19.7	-3.91
Qyntel Woods	17	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	4	-15	21.5	17.3	4.21	17.6	16.4	1.20
Ruben Patterson	73	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-9	11	17.6	20.1	-2.46	16.7	16.6	0.04
Vladimir Stepania	35	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-5	3	15.6	19.6	-4.08	17.5	16.1	1.41
Jeff McInnis	47	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	-2	-3	18.2	18.0	0.15	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Damon Stoudamire	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	6	-19	19.0	15.1	3.95	16.5	17.2	-0.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	82	83	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.48	13	-6	19	16.5	17.8	-1.25	17.9	20.3	-2.48
Elton Brand	85	86	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.23	13	-6	19	16.2	22.5	-6.26	18.3	14.5	3.85
Corey Maggette	82	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-3	13	16.6	17.3	-0.76	18.0	18.8	-0.75
Eddie House	34	32	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.53	0	7	-7	16.2	16.9	-0.71	16.6	18.9	-2.26
Predrag Drobnjak	7	7	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	10	-13	20.6	16.3	4.25	12.9	18.5	-5.67
Doug Overton	13	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	12	-17	18.5	16.3	2.21	17.9	18.1	-0.20
Chris Kaman	43	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.23	3	4	-1	16.2	17.1	-0.88	20.0	16.2	3.76
Chris Wilcox	37	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	11	-15	18.4	15.5	2.92	16.4	19.2	-2.79
Bobby Simmons	62	64	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.43	1	6	-5	16.8	16.4	0.34	19.3	15.4	3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.4,0.54,0.32,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 119, SEA 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.11,0.1,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.84,1,1	90.4%
NOH 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	89.3%
MIL 90, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	89.2%