NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	119		Excitement	9.3 [120]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +46.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	129		Comeback	24.6 [71]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -24.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.23	0.23	0.00	21	75%	0.46	0	0.00	6	100%	0.09
Mehmet Okur	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.18	0.24	0.00	12	83%	0.42	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Jarron Collins	0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	78%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	58%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Kirk Snyder	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	6	21%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	14	33%	-0.08	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.28,-0.28,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.19	-0.04	11	33%	-0.11	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.14	0.27	-0.00	13	72%	0.42	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.19	0.01	20	64%	0.32	4	-0.11	19	89%	0.06
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.09	0.03	15	68%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.02	6	57%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	14	61%	0.16	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.08	9	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	30.1	16.7	29.2	1.7	37.2	1.7	14.6	160.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +81.9%

UTA -15.9%

UTA -15.8%

SEA +2.9%

UTA -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	17.0	16.2	15.5	124.0	134.4	104.0
season	16.7	16.5		102.3	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.1		107.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	15.2	19.1	17.0	18.2	14.0	17.0
SEA	15.4	17.8	14.3	16.9	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	30	31	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-16	22	17.8	16.6	1.21	16.6	16.0	0.63
Jarron Collins	36	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-8	6	16.0	17.5	-1.55	15.2	16.7	-1.43
Carlos Boozer	79	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	17.4	15.1	2.25	15.7	18.3	-2.68
Gordan Giricek	29	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-6	2	15.7	17.5	-1.88	15.1	16.6	-1.43
Howard Eisley	41	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	17.5	16.6	0.91	17.7	14.9	2.88
Kirk Snyder	11	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	19.9	16.6	3.32	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Carlos Arroyo	55	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	16.6	17.5	-0.91	14.9	17.7	-2.88
Mehmet Okur	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	17.2	16.6	0.69	16.7	15.3	1.40
Raja Bell	66	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	17.7	15.4	2.28	16.7	15.0	1.71
Matt Harpring	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	16.2	18.7	-2.52	16.7	15.0	1.71

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	58	57	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	3	4	16.3	15.9	0.48	17.1	16.8	0.25
Rashard Lewis	81	81	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-4	18	15.7	18.9	-3.21	16.6	19.0	-2.41
Ray Allen	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-6	22	15.3	22.8	-7.52	16.5	20.4	-3.83
Danny Fortson	52	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	6	-2	17.2	14.9	2.34	18.1	15.8	2.36
Vladimir Radmanovic	72	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	7	-4	16.4	15.5	0.88	17.7	15.0	2.72
Jerome James	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	3	4	15.5	16.4	-0.88	15.0	17.7	-2.72
Nick Collison	17	17	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	7	-4	17.4	15.9	1.45	21.3	16.0	5.26
Reggie Evans	33	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	13	-16	15.5	16.5	-0.93	14.8	18.2	-3.41
Luke Ridnour	58	60	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.33	-1	11	-12	17.0	14.9	2.04	17.1	16.7	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.11,0.1,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 127, TOR 131	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.76,0.98,1	90.5%
POR 96, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.4,0.54,0.32,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.64,0.68,0.98,1	90.4%
DET 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.32,0.04,0.54,0.67,0.84,0.97,1,1	90.2%