NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	9.1 [138]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +15.7%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	2.7 [294]		LVP	Austin Croshere (IND): -21.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,0.16	-0.05	0.22	0.01	10	43%	0.20	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	-0.04	0.19	-0.01	10	56%	0.34	5	-0.18	7	71%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	2	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.05
Fred Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	83%	0.20	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.05	0.03	15	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21	-0.00	-0.21	-0.00	6	56%	-0.07	2	-0.14	4	100%	0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.15	0.02	33	42%	0.12	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	11	63%	0.21	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	15	59%	0.11	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	11	21%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	3.0	33.8	18.7	28.2	3.0	42.0	157.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.2%

IND +52.3%

IND +36.8%

NJN -54.7%

IND +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	18.3	15.2	15.6	104.7	102.3	104.4
season	16.0	15.7		102.3	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.2	17.0	20.5	18.6	18.3
NJN	14.7	16.5	13.8	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	40	41	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.57	8	-6	14	17.5	19.0	-1.45	15.5	14.9	0.57
Stephen Jackson	71	71	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-8	18	18.6	16.9	1.69	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Jermaine O'Neal	52	53	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.46	6	-4	10	18.3	18.4	-0.14	15.8	14.2	1.54
Anthony Johnson	68	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-3	8	18.5	17.6	0.90	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Fred Jones	47	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-3	8	18.4	18.3	0.13	15.8	14.4	1.33
David Harrison	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	15.8	18.7	-2.86	15.7	15.1	0.61
Scot Pollard	9	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	3	-4	19.6	18.2	1.37	15.1	15.2	-0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	18	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	17.6	18.5	-0.90	15.9	15.0	0.91
Danny Granger	15	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	9	-16	17.8	18.4	-0.64	15.6	15.1	0.57
Peja Stojakovic	48	48	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	8	-14	18.1	18.6	-0.50	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Jeff Foster	52	52	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.06	-8	10	-18	19.2	17.1	2.10	14.2	16.7	-2.50

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	24	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	2	-6	15.2	15.1	0.06	18.0	18.5	-0.46
Jason Collins	61	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-2	2	15.4	14.7	0.68	18.0	19.2	-1.29
Lamond Murray	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	16.6	14.9	1.77	17.7	18.5	-0.72
Richard Jefferson	73	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.51	5	-7	12	15.3	14.5	0.74	18.4	17.9	0.56
Clifford Robinson	41	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	2	-6	14.7	15.6	-0.82	18.0	18.7	-0.68
Jason Kidd	73	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	15.1	15.7	-0.62	18.4	18.1	0.31
Nenad Krstic	70	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.55	0	-2	2	15.2	14.8	0.43	18.9	16.1	2.75
Vince Carter	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	2	-6	14.9	17.1	-2.23	18.4	17.7	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	93.7%
DEN 111, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.1,0.16,0	92.4%
LAL 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	92.2%