NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	111		Excitement	8.9 [146]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): +13.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	2.8 [298]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): -19.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	5	110%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.15	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	18	57%	0.21	4	-0.16	18	83%	0.07
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	62%	0.21	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	9	54%	0.02	1	-0.06	8	75%	-0.03
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	24	38%	-0.11	2	-0.09	4	0%	-0.08

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	5	69%	0.16	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.08	-0.01	31	53%	0.12	3	-0.12	11	100%	0.07
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.18
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	6	29%	-0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	13	57%	0.06	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	583.7	2.6	30.3	16.6	-693.0	2.5	40.5	-16.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.8%

DEN +4.0%

DEN +14.0%

LAL -7.2%

DEN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAL	NBA	DEN	LAL	NBA
this game	12.9	14.8	15.4	107.8	100.0	104.5
season	14.0	15.3		105.8	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		107.3	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.7	13.1	12.7	13.0	12.9
LAL	12.6	16.9	14.4	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	42	39	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-8	22	13.1	12.7	0.47	17.7	13.1	4.55
Marcus Camby	93	95	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-3	12	12.6	15.7	-3.14	14.5	17.7	-3.19
Allen Iverson	99	102	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	12.7	16.7	-4.04	14.7	19.3	-4.66
Carmelo Anthony	99	100	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	3	0	12.9	10.7	2.20	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Linas Kleiza	37	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	0	6	12.5	13.1	-0.59	13.5	15.6	-2.03
Nene	78	81	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	12	-18	12.7	13.3	-0.60	14.2	16.7	-2.46
Reggie Evans	20	20	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	4	-2	14.1	12.6	1.60	16.8	14.3	2.52
Steve Blake	47	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	13.4	12.4	0.92	14.6	14.9	-0.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	17.6	14.5	3.08	15.7	12.6	3.07
Sasha Vujacic	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	17.6	14.5	3.08	15.7	12.6	3.07
Kwame Brown	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-5	4	13.8	15.3	-1.49	12.9	12.9	0.04
Brian Cook	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	13.3	15.0	-1.76	10.8	13.2	-2.40
Andrew Bynum	39	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-10	14	15.5	14.4	1.12	13.8	12.3	1.52
Jordan Farmar	25	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-4	2	16.8	14.2	2.66	12.6	12.9	-0.33
Maurice Evans	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	16.8	14.2	2.66	12.8	12.9	-0.02
Luke Walton	78	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-5	4	13.9	17.4	-3.55	12.6	13.6	-1.07
Ronny Turiaf	26	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	2	-10	16.4	14.3	2.14	12.5	13.0	-0.49
Smush Parker	70	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	13.7	17.1	-3.37	12.6	13.4	-0.81
Lamar Odom	94	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	14.8	14.9	-0.11	13.0	11.6	1.40
Kobe Bryant	98	97	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.6	17.6	-2.96	12.7	15.5	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	92.4%
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	92.3%
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.2%