NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	3.6 [1112]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +5.7%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	1.0 [1313]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -17.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	14	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	30	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.03	0.04	18	50%	-0.03	6	-0.15	4	75%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	17	67%	0.11	4	-0.05	15	100%	0.05
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	18	43%	0.03	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.8	33.0	19.4	24.5	3.6	38.0	150.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +23.6%

SAS +15.0%

SAS +6.2%

SAS +5.4%

PHX -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	17.5	15.5	101.1	112.1	104.0
season	13.5	16.3		112.9	105.8
opponent	15.6	16.0		98.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	15.7	13.7	13.0	14.1
SAS	15.8	16.3	19.0	19.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	34	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.29	8	-18	26	14.1	14.2	-0.13	18.8	16.8	1.97
Joe Johnson	68	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-7	4	14.5	13.1	1.35	18.5	14.6	3.88
Jim Jackson	56	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-7	4	13.9	14.5	-0.65	17.1	18.1	-1.06
Shawn Marion	59	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	3	-16	14.5	13.6	0.90	16.8	19.0	-2.18
Steve Nash	74	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	5	-20	14.1	14.4	-0.26	17.5	17.6	-0.16
Amar'e Stoudemire	88	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	1	-12	14.0	19.3	-5.37	17.4	20.7	-3.27
Quentin Richardson	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	3	-16	14.1	14.5	-0.47	17.1	19.4	-2.27

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	75	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-7	24	17.5	17.7	-0.22	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Robert Horry	59	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	2	6	18.6	15.5	3.05	13.8	14.7	-0.87
Tim Duncan	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	3	4	17.5	17.5	0.05	14.2	13.5	0.74
Manu Ginobili	74	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	2	6	16.5	21.9	-5.38	13.6	16.3	-2.68
Brent Barry	57	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-2	14	16.9	18.6	-1.68	14.1	14.3	-0.19
Bruce Bowen	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	8	-6	18.7	15.7	3.04	14.7	13.3	1.39
Nazr Mohammed	36	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	9	-8	17.3	17.6	-0.28	15.3	13.3	1.92
Rasho Nesterovic	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	8	-6	15.2	17.7	-2.50	10.6	14.3	-3.75
Beno Udrih	16	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	17	-24	17.7	17.5	0.22	14.4	14.1	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
ORL 85, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 94, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%