NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	3.4 [684]		MVP	George Lynch (PHI): +7.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	1.0 [590]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -19.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	19	55%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Horace Grant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	54%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	60%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	0.00	0.09	12	69%	0.00	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.22	-0.02	-0.04	14	44%	-0.04	9	-0.15	6	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	10	74%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	28	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	12	46%	0.01	5	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	32.2	17.6	29.5	1.8	32.5	140.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.6%

ORL -0.8%

ORL -2.4%

PHI +38.6%

ORL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	15.8	87.6	98.0	99.6
season	16.1	15.6		98.0	97.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		94.8	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.6	15.0	15.4	13.2	14.0
PHI	14.6	14.4	14.6	18.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	14.0	14.0	-0.00	11.7	15.5	-3.82
Dan Schayes	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.16	5	-17	22	13.0	14.2	-1.20	17.1	15.0	2.01
Michael Doleac	10	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-8	4	17.7	13.6	4.13	18.1	15.0	3.08
Dominique Wilkins	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-6	0	14.1	14.0	0.15	7.4	16.0	-8.55
Matt Harpring	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-14	16	13.7	14.4	-0.75	15.7	15.0	0.62
Bo Outlaw	58	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-14	16	13.3	15.1	-1.76	16.3	13.9	2.48
Ike Austin	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-5	-2	14.5	13.5	0.99	15.5	15.2	0.32
Nick Anderson	73	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	13.6	15.3	-1.77	15.4	15.2	0.27
Horace Grant	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	6	-24	14.4	13.6	0.74	13.6	17.2	-3.58
Anfernee Hardaway	83	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.1	13.6	0.42	15.1	16.9	-1.76
Darrell Armstrong	87	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	-1	-10	14.3	11.8	2.45	15.7	12.2	3.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	90	86	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	-5	22	15.5	14.2	1.27	14.1	13.0	1.13
Eric Snow	81	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-5	22	15.1	16.7	-1.58	13.8	14.8	-0.93
George Lynch	67	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	3	6	15.0	16.2	-1.25	14.1	13.8	0.25
Tyrone Hill	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-1	14	15.4	15.3	0.08	14.1	13.8	0.34
Larry Hughes	61	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	8	-4	14.9	16.1	-1.23	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Theo Ratliff	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	3	6	15.1	15.6	-0.50	14.1	13.9	0.12
Aaron McKie	38	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	17	-22	16.4	14.7	1.70	14.4	13.7	0.64
Matt Geiger	45	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.16	-3	15	-18	16.8	14.2	2.61	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Nazr Mohammed	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	14.0	15.4	-1.40	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Rick Mahorn	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	11.7	15.5	-3.82	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	11.7	15.5	-3.82	14.0	14.0	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 71, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
PHX 92, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	96.7%
DET 79, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%