NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	3.2 [1109]		MVP	Khalid Reeves (NJN): +7.9%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	1.0 [1063]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -11.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	12	70%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Yinka Dare	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Werdann	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	17	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lloyd Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	8	62%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	15	47%	-0.00	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.05	-0.01	0.16	25	53%	-0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	88%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	-0.07	13	61%	0.07	3	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Sam Mack	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	56%	0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	17	49%	-0.02	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	26.6	14.5	26.5	2.5	29.2	124.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.2%

NJN -2.0%

HOU +7.6%

NJN -0.4%

HOU +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.5	13.2	15.6	107.2	114.4	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		101.7	107.2
opponent	15.4	14.9		103.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.8	18.7	16.2	14.0	16.5
HOU	14.3	12.6	13.1	12.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Werdann	3	4	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-7	7	12.3	16.7	-4.34	14.0	13.1	0.88
Yinka Dare	28	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.34	10	-17	27	17.1	16.3	0.85	13.9	12.9	0.97
Lloyd Daniels	17	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-8	9	17.4	16.4	0.99	13.0	13.2	-0.19
Xavier McDaniel	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-3	-1	14.6	16.8	-2.23	14.7	12.9	1.73
Ed O'Bannon	56	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-9	11	15.7	17.7	-1.94	13.1	13.2	-0.06
Kerry Kittles	88	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-6	5	16.0	22.1	-6.15	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Khalid Reeves	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	11	-29	17.3	15.3	1.96	13.2	13.0	0.21
Tony Massenburg	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	16.6	16.4	0.24	12.9	13.5	-0.61
Kendall Gill	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	17.0	13.2	3.75	13.3	11.8	1.51
Jayson Williams	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	8	-23	16.7	16.0	0.65	12.7	14.5	-1.79

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	76	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	-10	27	12.8	14.3	-1.44	17.0	15.2	1.79
Clyde Drexler	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-11	29	13.2	13.1	0.04	16.8	15.8	0.93
Matt Maloney	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-6	19	13.1	13.2	-0.02	17.2	15.5	1.69
Sam Mack	88	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	7	-7	13.1	13.4	-0.32	16.4	17.6	-1.24
Kevin Willis	72	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	-2	11	12.9	13.9	-0.98	16.6	16.2	0.47
Othella Harrington	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	3	1	14.1	12.8	1.29	15.6	16.9	-1.26
Randy Livingston	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	13	-19	13.2	13.1	0.02	15.5	17.2	-1.69
Matt Bullard	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	13	-19	13.1	13.2	-0.06	15.8	16.7	-0.86
Brent Price	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.25	-8	15	-23	14.0	12.9	1.05	16.5	16.5	-0.05
Charles Jones	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	13	-19	13.4	13.1	0.27	16.1	16.6	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, DEN 124	0.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ORL 87, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NOH 82, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%