inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 98 Excitement3.0 [1190] MVPPaul Millsap (DEN): +15.6%
Denver Nuggets 124 Comeback1.0 [1059] LVPAl-Farouq Aminu (POR): -11.2%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Hood0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04867%0.0510.01580%0.01
Maurice Harkless0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01371%0.0300.001100%0.00
Damian Lillard0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.012147%0.051-0.02540%-0.02
Zach Collins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.000.051058%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Anfernee Simons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Skal Labissiere0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01240%0.0000.0010%0.00
Jake Layman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Evan Turner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Meyers Leonard-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02750%-0.0000.0040%-0.00
CJ McCollum-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.051637%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Seth Curry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.001035%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.03929%-0.051-0.01650%-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.000.02819%-0.091-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.01-0.021760%0.1600.00667%-0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.06-0.00-0.021651%0.0800.003100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.02950%0.0400.002100%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02662%0.0300.001100%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.100.000.08491%0.0200.003100%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011253%0.041-0.026100%0.01
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02460%0.0100.002100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.041860%0.053-0.04683%0.00
Trey Lyles00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00267%0.003-0.042100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.63.533.316.323.92.734.7142.9
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.2%
DEN +8.9%
DEN +5.4%
POR -1.6%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game14.714.414.3100.0124.0109.3
season14.914.8112.6112.0
opponent14.613.9108.1109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.016.514.014.314.7
DEN14.713.012.617.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anfernee Simons10100.00-0.500.500.12-4-221813.214.9-1.6915.814.21.61
Skal Labissiere10100.00-0.500.500.12-4-221813.214.9-1.6915.814.21.61
Jake Layman10100.00-0.500.500.12-4-221813.214.9-1.6915.814.21.61
Meyers Leonard3032-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-252414.414.9-0.4516.213.52.66
Evan Turner2222-0.07-0.430.37-0.122-283014.614.7-0.1016.913.63.28
Zach Collins4042-0.14-0.360.23-0.08-2-242214.614.8-0.1915.513.61.90
Seth Curry5052-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-201414.614.8-0.1915.812.73.08
Maurice Harkless3030-0.20-0.300.110.24-15-11-414.015.0-0.9813.414.7-1.31
Rodney Hood5254-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-8-181015.014.40.6114.514.20.29
Enes Kanter5655-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-19-7-1215.014.40.6312.916.1-3.24
Damian Lillard6869-0.39-0.11-0.280.25-22-4-1814.914.30.5513.416.5-3.19
Al-Farouq Aminu5052-0.43-0.07-0.360.22-22-4-1815.214.20.9913.715.1-1.45
CJ McCollum6262-0.46-0.04-0.420.27-25-1-2415.014.10.9113.116.3-3.21

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap73710.470.030.43-0.03179813.716.0-2.3114.714.8-0.14
Gary Harris75730.460.040.41-0.4531-53614.513.80.7315.213.31.87
Will Barton53510.430.070.35-0.041610614.514.20.2215.014.40.64
Nikola Jokic70690.400.100.31-0.362602614.115.0-0.9815.413.12.34
Jamal Murray68660.360.140.23-0.4628-23014.514.10.3815.213.71.43
Monte Morris32320.140.36-0.230.19-228-3014.114.5-0.3813.715.2-1.43
Torrey Craig49490.120.38-0.26-0.201115-415.113.61.4714.015.4-1.35
Mason Plumlee38380.090.41-0.330.03224-2214.814.10.7114.115.1-1.04
Malik Beasley30310.040.46-0.420.19-531-3614.414.30.0714.414.9-0.43
Trey Lyles650.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2013.714.4-0.7311.814.9-3.07
Juancho Hernangomez650.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2013.714.4-0.7311.814.9-3.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 76, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CLE 88, TOR 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
VAN 82, WAS 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%