inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 86 Excitement4.7 [903] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +6.1%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback1.2 [1106] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -13.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Blake0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Laron Profit0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.001154%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Juan Dixon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.01750%0.001-0.04667%-0.00
Etan Thomas-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.000.00442%-0.031-0.02425%-0.04
Anthony Peeler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.130.00-0.0740%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.001751%-0.023-0.071191%0.04
Jared Jeffries-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.030.04853%-0.032-0.073100%0.02
Gilbert Arenas-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.000.022148%-0.043-0.061070%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.00960%0.0600.00250%-0.02
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01975%0.102-0.04250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00580%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.01-0.051050%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01850%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.031259%0.054-0.08837%-0.02
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.020.02464%0.001-0.04333%-0.02
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.04650%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.001845%-0.044-0.10875%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.33.432.319.033.03.632.2155.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +51.5%
WAS -10.6%
MIA +9.2%
MIA +0.4%
WAS -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game14.815.115.589.6108.2104.0
season14.715.7104.7107.9
opponent15.515.5101.1105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.113.917.015.714.8
MIA13.014.315.018.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake780.00-0.500.50-0.031-202112.914.9-2.0816.514.91.57
Laron Profit660.00-0.500.50-0.031-202113.514.9-1.3716.814.91.89
Brendan Haywood5152-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-222514.115.6-1.5415.514.50.99
Jared Jeffries6769-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-191914.016.6-2.5415.414.31.04
Anthony Peeler2324-0.19-0.310.120.08-9-10116.514.22.2916.014.71.30
Juan Dixon1719-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-11318.514.04.5515.115.10.05
Antawn Jamison6765-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-10114.116.4-2.2914.017.2-3.13
Gilbert Arenas8385-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-9-114.318.1-3.8115.114.80.26
Michael Ruffin3635-0.33-0.17-0.150.26-201-2116.213.92.2615.215.00.17
Larry Hughes8585-0.46-0.04-0.410.16-212-2314.914.20.6815.114.70.36
Etan Thomas3837-0.530.03-0.550.15-234-2715.814.11.6314.115.6-1.50

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones82830.63-0.130.76-0.2831-124314.518.4-3.9515.311.53.75
Udonis Haslem46480.57-0.070.64-0.0722-32515.414.70.6716.213.32.90
Dwyane Wade81800.340.160.18-0.04136715.015.3-0.3014.118.1-4.01
Shaquille O'Neal46490.290.210.08-0.06127515.414.70.6714.814.8-0.01
Keyon Dooling45440.280.220.06-0.191631315.614.61.0915.414.31.08
Damon Jones52520.220.28-0.060.13316-1314.615.6-1.0914.315.4-1.08
Rasual Butler21210.170.33-0.170.05415-1117.314.42.9017.314.13.27
Alonzo Mourning39370.150.35-0.200.00514-914.215.7-1.4814.814.8-0.04
Michael Doleac12100.060.44-0.380.00217-1516.614.81.7414.914.80.13
Christian Laettner4947-0.070.57-0.64-0.13217-1514.615.5-0.8713.516.0-2.49
Shandon Anderson129-0.140.64-0.780.30-1534-4916.014.91.079.015.4-6.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 98, WAS 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
DEN 94, ATL 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%
IND 98, MIL 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%