NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	98		Excitement	4.6 [892]		MVP	Anthony Mason (MIL): +9.5%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	1.2 [937]		LVP	Greg Anthony (MIL): -10.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Pope	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	15	50%	0.05	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	53%	-0.03	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.03	0.07	17	56%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.03	22	61%	0.07	0	0.00	12	83%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	60%	0.10	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	16	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.04	-0.05	8	25%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	477.8	1.7	28.2	14.8	28.2	1.7	27.2	579.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +9.1%

WAS +2.5%

WAS +8.3%

WAS +21.7%

WAS +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.6	102.1	110.3	102.3
season	15.3	16.5		104.7	102.2
opponent	15.3	16.0		103.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	16.2	15.3	14.1	14.9
WAS	13.3	16.5	14.7	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	12.8	15.2	-2.39	12.3	15.2	-2.90
Ervin Johnson	18	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	16.0	14.7	1.29	17.8	14.2	3.66
Darvin Ham	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-5	1	13.9	16.0	-2.10	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Sam Cassell	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-6	3	15.7	14.3	1.39	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Glenn Robinson	60	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.06	-11	2	-13	15.2	14.4	0.81	15.2	14.4	0.85
Joel Przybilla	41	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.3	15.5	-1.19	13.3	16.2	-2.86
Tim Thomas	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	4	-17	14.7	15.3	-0.52	15.5	13.9	1.59
Mark Pope	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-11	13	15.3	14.4	0.92	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Greg Anthony	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	14.7	15.4	-0.67	15.9	12.7	3.13
Anthony Mason	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	3	-15	15.4	13.3	2.02	15.0	14.5	0.57

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	46	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-5	19	14.4	15.3	-0.88	14.0	15.7	-1.75
Brendan Haywood	37	37	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-2	13	15.7	14.4	1.30	15.4	14.7	0.66
Courtney Alexander	71	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-2	13	14.2	16.9	-2.72	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Richard Hamilton	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-1	11	15.0	14.6	0.36	15.5	13.2	2.23
Christian Laettner	54	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	5	-1	14.3	15.7	-1.44	15.5	14.3	1.21
Popeye Jones	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	1	7	16.1	13.3	2.74	15.7	14.0	1.65
Chris Whitney	52	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	8	-7	15.4	14.4	1.01	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Jahidi White	20	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	12.0	15.6	-3.59	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Michael Jordan	49	49	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	16	-23	15.8	14.0	1.73	15.3	14.5	0.82
Kwame Brown	23	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	15.0	14.9	0.14	12.9	15.6	-2.73
Etan Thomas	4	4	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	15	-21	13.5	15.0	-1.46	11.2	15.1	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, ATL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIL 82, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 86, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%