NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	94		Excitement	4.4 [907]		MVP	Christian Laettner (ATL): +11.2%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	1.1 [1251]		LVP	Johnny Newman (DEN): -8.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Danny Fortson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kiwane Garris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	67%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	55%	0.04	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Wolf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Harold Ellis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	20	52%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	10	78%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brian Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	13	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	14	60%	0.04	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	23.7	16.0	27.3	2.5	26.6	120.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.2%

ATL +16.6%

ATL +0.7%

DEN -0.2%

ATL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	ATL	NBA	DEN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.6	15.6	94.9	115.0	102.5
season	16.2	16.1		96.7	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.2		101.5	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.8	13.7	17.5	13.8	15.3
ATL	12.7	12.9	15.2	13.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	11.2	15.7	-4.42	13.1	13.7	-0.53
Eric Washington	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-18	15	15.4	15.3	0.10	12.7	13.8	-1.13
Joe Wolf	17	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-16	11	13.8	15.6	-1.87	12.5	13.9	-1.34
Tony Battie	13	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-15	9	17.9	14.9	3.00	10.3	14.1	-3.76
Danny Fortson	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-16	11	15.5	15.2	0.31	14.6	13.0	1.56
Cory Alexander	64	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.20	-14	-7	-7	14.5	16.8	-2.26	13.0	14.7	-1.70
Harold Ellis	46	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-14	7	14.9	15.7	-0.79	14.4	13.1	1.29
LaPhonso Ellis	76	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-6	-9	15.2	15.7	-0.44	14.2	11.8	2.39
Johnny Newman	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-8	-5	15.4	15.0	0.40	13.4	14.5	-1.04
Dean Garrett	67	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	-2	-17	15.9	14.1	1.85	13.8	13.2	0.60
Anthony Goldwire	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	-6	-9	16.0	13.6	2.42	13.8	13.2	0.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	68	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-2	25	13.8	13.2	0.62	16.3	13.1	3.27
Drew Barry	62	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.30	25	-4	29	12.6	15.3	-2.70	15.4	15.2	0.14
Chucky Brown	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	11	-1	14.2	12.9	1.25	16.1	14.3	1.78
Christian Laettner	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	12	-3	12.8	14.3	-1.47	15.5	15.2	0.31
Dikembe Mutombo	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	3	15	13.8	13.4	0.33	15.7	14.5	1.19
Alan Henderson	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	16	-11	14.5	12.2	2.31	16.0	14.1	1.92
Mookie Blaylock	72	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	17	-13	14.4	11.8	2.58	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Brian Oliver	24	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	14	-7	11.4	14.3	-2.93	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Anthony Miller	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	13	-5	11.9	13.8	-1.92	12.1	15.6	-3.52
Greg Anderson	19	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	21	-21	13.5	13.7	-0.21	13.2	15.8	-2.65
Chris Crawford	14	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	25	-29	14.7	13.5	1.25	10.4	16.1	-5.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIA 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 97, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%