inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement4.1 [788] MVPNicolas Batum (POR): +20.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 117 Comeback1.0 [893] LVPArron Afflalo (DEN): -11.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.070,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.01-0.001461%0.092-0.025100%0.03
Kosta Koufos0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.011167%0.101-0.032100%0.01
Rudy Fernandez0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.01850%0.0300.002100%0.00
Corey Brewer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.010.031052%0.021-0.02786%0.00
Kenneth Faried0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julyan Stone0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.04-0.041453%0.034-0.06250%-0.00
Al Harrington-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.010.02664%0.044-0.082100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nene-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.00533%-0.063-0.052100%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.0150%-0.091-0.0300%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.250.010.061980%0.211-0.01367%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.13-0.010.011874%0.204-0.083100%0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.01861%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.011750%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Luke Babbitt00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nolan Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Craig Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02150%0.0010.002100%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01646%-0.001-0.021100%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.021100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.03753%0.002-0.041100%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00633%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.026.315.524.32.428.3120.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +44.8%
DEN -8.4%
POR +3.0%
POR +6.2%
POR +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game13.516.715.6102.1121.9102.8
season14.515.7107.5104.1
opponent15.415.8104.7104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.513.014.013.513.5
POR16.517.016.017.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried10110.00-0.500.50-0.062-222412.113.6-1.5514.616.9-2.28
Jordan Hamilton770.00-0.500.50-0.155-253012.613.6-0.9913.616.9-3.33
Julyan Stone770.00-0.500.50-0.155-253012.613.6-0.9913.616.9-3.33
Arron Afflalo4040-0.08-0.420.33-0.06-1-191814.113.01.0616.816.60.20
Corey Brewer4141-0.12-0.380.260.09-7-13612.913.9-1.0716.217.0-0.85
Andre Miller2828-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-12413.113.6-0.5316.916.60.33
Al Harrington4345-0.26-0.24-0.030.18-15-5-1012.914.0-1.0517.116.20.90
Nene5354-0.28-0.22-0.070.24-18-2-1613.912.91.0016.916.40.53
Ty Lawson6163-0.33-0.17-0.170.19-18-2-1613.713.10.6617.315.41.88
Kosta Koufos6767-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.22-5-151013.613.20.3816.118.0-1.88
Rudy Fernandez4746-0.37-0.13-0.250.21-200-2013.013.9-0.8716.816.50.24
Danilo Gallinari7171-0.45-0.05-0.410.13-200-2014.011.92.1017.115.41.70

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge81790.52-0.020.54-0.2727-73416.716.20.5413.712.61.03
Wesley Matthews58580.51-0.010.51-0.3429-93817.215.81.3514.511.92.65
Marcus Camby59570.390.110.280.101010016.816.50.3213.813.00.81
Nicolas Batum48480.310.190.13-0.241911817.515.81.7712.914.0-1.11
Gerald Wallace67660.300.200.100.12614-816.417.2-0.7413.713.10.55
Jamal Crawford61610.280.220.06-0.251821616.816.50.2713.014.4-1.49
Kurt Thomas24260.100.40-0.30-0.28137618.116.21.9013.513.50.02
Raymond Felton47470.090.41-0.330.06119-1816.616.8-0.2013.413.6-0.16
Luke Babbitt760.000.50-0.500.12-424-2813.616.9-3.3311.713.6-1.94
Elliot Williams770.000.50-0.500.15-525-3013.616.9-3.3312.613.6-0.99
Nolan Smith770.000.50-0.500.15-525-3013.616.9-3.3312.613.6-0.99
Craig Smith770.000.50-0.500.15-525-3013.616.9-3.3312.613.6-0.99
Chris Johnson760.000.50-0.500.12-424-2813.616.9-3.3311.713.6-1.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 89, PHI 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
MIN 109, SAC 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
DET 70, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%