NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	70		Excitement	3.4 [678]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +9.0%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.0 [588]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -11.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	54%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	18	60%	0.06	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bison Dele	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	8	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	17	50%	0.03	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	27.0	17.8	26.0	1.8	24.4	122.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.2%

DET -0.1%

DET -0.5%

ATL +6.2%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	17.8	15.8	83.3	107.1	99.6
season	16.6	16.7		101.4	97.2
opponent	16.3	16.1		94.9	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.1	15.9	15.5	18.9	16.5
ATL	18.1	16.8	16.5	20.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles O'Bannon	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	9.4	17.0	-7.59	24.0	17.4	6.65
Eric Montross	31	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	14.5	17.7	-3.15	17.3	18.0	-0.62
Jud Buechler	28	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-12	4	18.6	15.5	3.16	17.7	17.8	-0.03
Jerome Williams	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-12	4	15.4	17.4	-1.97	18.5	17.2	1.32
Jerry Stackhouse	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-7	-6	17.3	15.8	1.55	16.6	18.8	-2.23
Christian Laettner	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-11	2	17.5	15.5	1.93	17.7	17.9	-0.20
Joe Dumars	47	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-9	-2	16.7	16.3	0.47	18.5	16.8	1.68
Lindsey Hunter	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-4	-12	16.7	15.9	0.75	17.6	18.2	-0.62
Grant Hill	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-3	-14	15.4	21.0	-5.60	17.3	20.0	-2.74
Bison Dele	53	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	2	-24	17.7	14.5	3.15	18.0	17.3	0.62

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.19	26	-6	32	17.9	16.8	1.07	17.3	11.8	5.49
Tyrone Corbin	52	50	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.12	23	-3	26	16.7	19.4	-2.73	18.1	14.2	3.91
Steven Smith	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	1	18	18.0	15.4	2.63	16.9	13.2	3.63
Mookie Blaylock	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	4	12	17.5	19.2	-1.65	16.3	18.0	-1.73
Dikembe Mutombo	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	5	10	18.4	13.2	5.16	16.3	17.8	-1.48
Anthony Johnson	16	17	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	15	-10	18.5	17.6	0.93	17.5	16.3	1.17
Mark West	10	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	15	-10	13.2	18.4	-5.16	17.8	16.3	1.48
Roshown McLeod	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	12.7	17.9	-5.27	10.7	16.8	-6.08
Ed Gray	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	12.7	17.9	-5.27	10.7	16.8	-6.08
Jeff Sheppard	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	12.7	17.9	-5.27	10.7	16.8	-6.08
Chris Crawford	29	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	23	-26	20.1	16.5	3.65	14.7	17.6	-2.91
Alan Henderson	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	26	-32	18.4	17.7	0.69	12.4	17.0	-4.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIN 109, SAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHX 83, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%