NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	4.3 [974]		MVP	Mike James (HOU): +14.0%
Dallas Mavericks	86		Comeback	1.3 [468]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -19.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	13	57%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	27	60%	0.17	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.00
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	94%	0.11	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	13	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.22	-0.03	-0.06	19	41%	-0.09	6	-0.10	13	85%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.7	32.1	18.5	30.2	3.6	39.6	154.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.6%

DAL -12.1%

HOU +8.6%

DAL -0.3%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	18.6	15.5	15.5	115.3	102.4	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		104.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.2	19.0	19.0	18.0	18.6
DAL	16.9	15.3	14.4	15.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	18.5	21.5	-2.99	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Jon Barry	51	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-5	22	18.6	18.5	0.18	16.2	14.5	1.78
Mike James	45	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	3	6	18.5	18.6	-0.09	15.8	15.2	0.57
David Wesley	63	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	-3	18	18.3	19.5	-1.25	15.8	14.5	1.28
Dikembe Mutombo	49	46	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	5	2	19.3	17.6	1.72	14.8	16.3	-1.46
Ryan Bowen	55	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.46	-8	20	-28	19.0	17.7	1.30	14.6	17.4	-2.83
Yao Ming	35	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	7	-2	17.9	19.1	-1.22	16.2	14.9	1.35
Bob Sura	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	8	-4	18.1	19.0	-0.86	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Scott Padgett	2	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	14	-16	22.0	18.5	3.51	14.5	15.5	-1.01

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	4	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-8	4	15.7	15.5	0.27	19.4	18.5	0.87
Keith Van Horn	26	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-10	8	17.2	14.7	2.41	20.2	18.0	2.22
Michael Finley	58	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-9	6	14.8	17.1	-2.30	17.8	20.4	-2.60
Devin Harris	13	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-1	-10	17.5	15.1	2.33	17.3	18.9	-1.59
Jason Terry	73	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-9	6	15.2	17.6	-2.47	18.6	18.2	0.41
Josh Howard	76	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-12	12	15.1	19.1	-4.02	19.1	13.9	5.24
Erick Dampier	43	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-9	6	16.6	14.3	2.34	18.7	18.5	0.25
Jerry Stackhouse	54	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	2	-16	15.5	15.4	0.09	18.3	19.1	-0.79
Dirk Nowitzki	73	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	8	-28	15.1	17.9	-2.79	18.4	20.0	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, WAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.9%
DET 90, SAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.7%
PHI 111, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.02,0.03,0.09,0	94.6%