NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	6.8 [517]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +15.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	110		Comeback	1.6 [693]		LVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): -29.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.16	-0.01	-0.01	16	72%	0.20	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	67%	0.10	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	16	44%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	16	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	16	32%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-0.02	6	25%	-0.19	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.18

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	14	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	18	42%	0.00	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.14	0.02	16	56%	0.02	3	-0.14	7	86%	-0.04
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.3	-0.29	-0.03	-0.28	-0.01	12	37%	-0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.7	28.3	14.6	25.3	2.3	37.4	137.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +53.8%

NOP -17.0%

PHI +6.8%

PHI +1.9%

PHI +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOP	NBA	PHI	NOP	NBA
this game	13.7	11.6	14.3	98.2	96.5	109.3
season	14.0	13.4		110.9	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.5	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.1	12.7	15.9	14.5	13.7
NOP	12.3	11.3	11.8	11.2	11.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	-3	7	13.8	13.6	0.25	11.3	12.3	-0.97
Tobias Harris	92	92	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	2	-3	14.0	12.6	1.37	11.2	13.3	-2.07
Jonathon Simmons	31	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	-2	5	14.5	13.5	0.99	11.0	11.9	-0.82
Boban Marjanovic	46	47	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-7	15	14.2	13.4	0.81	12.8	10.9	1.90
Ben Simmons	81	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	6	-11	14.0	13.1	0.89	11.3	12.6	-1.30
Jimmy Butler	84	85	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.44	-6	7	-13	13.5	14.5	-1.01	11.9	11.0	0.92
JJ Redick	83	86	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	1	-1	13.4	14.7	-1.36	12.0	10.6	1.38
T.J. McConnell	32	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	-5	11	13.1	14.0	-0.89	12.6	11.3	1.30
Jonah Bolden	43	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	5	-9	13.2	14.1	-0.85	11.2	12.0	-0.80

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	37	38	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.17	10	-11	21	10.7	12.1	-1.40	16.4	12.4	3.97
Frank Jackson	45	43	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-4	7	12.4	11.2	1.24	13.9	13.6	0.32
Anthony Davis	53	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-2	3	11.3	11.9	-0.58	13.2	14.2	-0.95
Stanley Johnson	21	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	11	-23	13.9	11.1	2.76	10.5	14.4	-3.87
Jahlil Okafor	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	6	-13	12.4	11.2	1.20	14.1	13.6	0.52
Kenrich Williams	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	6	-13	11.9	11.4	0.50	13.0	14.7	-1.69
Elfrid Payton	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.70	13	-14	27	10.8	13.1	-2.28	14.5	12.5	2.00
Jrue Holiday	81	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-4	7	11.1	12.9	-1.73	13.9	13.4	0.52
Julius Randle	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-2	3	11.5	11.9	-0.41	13.5	14.2	-0.68
E'Twaun Moore	47	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	6	-13	11.6	11.7	-0.09	14.1	13.5	0.56
Ian Clark	32	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	2	-5	12.9	11.2	1.70	12.1	14.3	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.02,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, DAL 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.0%
DEN 88, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	94.9%
CHI 113, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%