NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	10.4 [51]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +50.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	12.2 [61]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -34.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.50	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.5	0.08	0.42	-0.00	15	69%	0.58	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.09
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	17	50%	0.29	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.05
Lindsey Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	16	50%	-0.02	6	-0.18	8	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.26	0.01	24	69%	0.48	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.09	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	22	50%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.10	0.04	14	39%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.02	-0.33	0.00	7	50%	-0.32	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.1	3.7	30.2	16.8	29.2	3.7	39.0	1.6	17.3	168.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +56.2%

PHI -7.4%

DET +10.1%

PHI -14.7%

DET +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.9	15.5	100.0	94.8	104.0
season	16.7	13.9		103.5	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	18.0	16.0	16.5	16.2	19.0	16.9
PHI	15.4	14.7	15.5	18.1	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	74	76	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-8	21	16.6	17.7	-1.00	16.3	14.4	1.93
Tayshaun Prince	84	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.50	5	0	5	16.6	18.7	-2.09	16.1	14.5	1.52
Chauncey Billups	86	86	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-7	19	16.9	16.8	0.08	16.6	10.7	5.83
Rasheed Wallace	89	91	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	3	-1	16.7	19.1	-2.44	16.0	14.8	1.13
Richard Hamilton	89	89	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.44	-5	10	-15	17.2	13.5	3.69	15.7	18.6	-2.97
Carlos Arroyo	8	9	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	-5	15	13.5	17.2	-3.69	16.7	15.8	0.85
Darvin Ham	1	0	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	8	-11	0.0	17.1	-17.06	0.0	15.9	-15.90
Antonio McDyess	30	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.09	-2	7	-9	18.6	16.1	2.53	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Lindsey Hunter	24	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.08	-7	12	-19	17.8	16.6	1.26	12.6	16.9	-4.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	25	26	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.06	11	-16	27	12.4	17.1	-4.77	17.0	16.8	0.21
Kyle Korver	42	42	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-5	5	15.8	16.0	-0.20	16.4	17.3	-0.89
Rodney Rogers	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.22	-8	3	-11	13.6	16.4	-2.81	15.6	17.2	-1.57
Marc Jackson	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	2	-9	15.9	15.9	0.05	17.1	16.9	0.21
Samuel Dalembert	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.53	3	-8	11	16.4	13.9	2.49	17.1	16.2	0.86
Chris Webber	81	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-7	9	16.1	14.8	1.30	17.0	16.4	0.54
Allen Iverson	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.9	0.0	15.90	16.9	0.0	16.89
Andre Iguodala	83	82	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.41	-11	6	-17	16.7	10.9	5.89	17.0	16.1	0.97
Willie Green	45	44	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.47	-10	5	-15	16.1	15.7	0.32	17.0	16.8	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.28,0	90.0%
OKC 132, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.55,0.32,0.27,0	88.5%
MIA 107, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	88.5%