NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	108		Excitement	14.2 [3]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +24.1%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	8.8 [102]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -82.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.15	0.03	12	74%	0.27	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.10
Keyon Dooling	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	7	93%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.01	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	25%	-0.12
Steven Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.28,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.02	-0.01	19	47%	-0.02	3	-0.09	15	60%	-0.05
Damon Jones	-0.37	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37	-0.02	-0.34	0.01	13	46%	-0.21	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.83	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.5,-0.5,-0.55,-0.49,-0.49,-0.49,-0.55,-0.55,-0.71,-0.82,-0.83	-0.26	-0.57	0.00	19	44%	-0.35	9	-0.48	12	83%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.02	14	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	6	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.21,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.33,-0.16,-0.28,-0.32,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.05	0.01	37	45%	0.11	7	-0.33	6	67%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.29,-0.29,-0.38	-0.38	-0.08	-0.30	-0.00	20	46%	-0.32	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.45,-0.45	-0.45	-0.11	-0.33	0.00	19	36%	-0.39	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	486.7	3.4	33.8	19.0	28.3	2.8	36.1	1.5	26.1	0.2	22.3	660.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +74.2%

NJN -5.9%

NJN -0.0%

NJN -17.4%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.5	93.9	92.1	104.0
season	15.7	16.0		107.9	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	16.0	14.8	15.0	16.0	15.4	15.5
NJN	14.0	17.1	15.0	16.0	11.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	90	90	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-7	17	16.6	11.4	5.20	15.0	14.7	0.27
Dwyane Wade	102	103	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.50	5	-2	7	15.3	16.8	-1.55	15.0	14.4	0.62
Damon Jones	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	16.3	13.9	2.42	14.8	15.2	-0.47
Udonis Haslem	94	93	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.59	-8	11	-19	15.6	14.7	0.92	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Eddie Jones	99	96	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.40	-3	6	-9	15.5	15.1	0.40	14.6	16.8	-2.27
Christian Laettner	21	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	-8	19	14.7	15.6	-0.92	15.7	14.8	0.91
Keyon Dooling	34	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	-2	7	15.7	15.4	0.34	15.9	14.5	1.46
Shandon Anderson	34	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	4	-5	13.8	16.2	-2.42	15.1	14.9	0.20
Alonzo Mourning	25	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	13	-23	11.4	16.6	-5.20	14.7	15.0	-0.27

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	19	15	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-1	-1	14.7	15.0	-0.28	15.9	15.4	0.46
Clifford Robinson	36	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-9	15	15.5	14.7	0.81	14.1	16.2	-2.06
Richard Jefferson	87	90	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-14	25	14.8	15.2	-0.39	15.3	15.9	-0.58
Jason Collins	85	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	0	-3	14.9	15.0	-0.06	16.0	14.0	1.99
Brian Scalabrine	30	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	12	-27	13.9	15.3	-1.39	15.8	15.4	0.40
Nenad Krstic	97	100	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	14.9	15.0	-0.09	15.8	13.5	2.23
Vince Carter	109	111	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-3	3	15.1	11.6	3.47	15.4	16.7	-1.33
Jason Kidd	107	109	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	7	-17	15.0	13.6	1.44	15.3	18.7	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.64,0.57,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 127, CLE 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.84,0.72,0.53,0.63,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.77,0.54,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0	86.2%
BOS 103, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	86.1%
DET 81, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.83,1	85.6%